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NASDAQ:GOOG
It was a recent trade, and he just sold it, because this week's Microsoft Bing AI announcement was a game-changer. Because Google owns 97% of internet search and online ads, you don't need to move the needle much on Microsoft to make it a more competitive pricing environment. He was never a big fan of Google anyway and he got it luckily before it hit bottom
GOOG had an AI presentation and its BARD program came up with the wrong answers.
This sent investors into a tizzy but the market reaction looks far overdone to us.
GOOG was worried about 'reputational risk' in launching a product too early, and now its fears have been realized.
It is today's news story but won't be tomorrow's.
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It is very very big and therefore hard to move the needle, but there are a lot of initiatives the company can do such as pricing, launching new services and getting into AI. The advertising component is cyclical and is the easiest place for companies to cut spending. There are one billion searches a day on Google and its YouTube is the most dominant platform around. It is trading at a decent valuation of 20X earnings, has an excellent balance sheet, and is buying back $60 billion worth of stock this year. Now focusing on cost cutting so be patient.
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Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Spends about $37B a year on research. ChatGPT is probably its best shot at making Bing anything more than a joke. We do not think GOOG needs to be sold. It is too cheap, and a return to advertising spending will still be very positive for earnings. Would recommend buying. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Just unfortunate timing. An enduring business. Big fan. Regulatory overhang for years, but no matter how this plays out, value will be unlocked over time. Digital advertising will improve as the economy does. Debt free, tons of excess cash, trades at 16-17x earnings. Incubating investments. Sentiment will change, the multiple will expand, earnings will move higher. Consider adding while down, but definitely sit tight.