Kinross Gold (K.TO)

Gold won’t take off again well into next year.

Has been sort of hugging its 50 day moving average. Chart shows the downward trend has recently been broken. The most important thing with gold is that the May, June, July period was quite substantive which built a bottom. If you don’t own, this could be a reasonable level to acquire, mostly because the risk/reward is in your favour.

Is at an entry point. Gold stocks will move with gold margin. Executed well. Managing balance sheet well. Pushed out projects that are not accretive to business. Very little growth over next few years. They could rebound very well, so hold.

Not only do they have exposure to the gold price, but they have not made astute acquisitions in the last few years. She feels you should have some gold exposure, but prefers Goldcorp (G-T) where she can see a clear path to their production and growth over the next 4-5 years.

The strategy that they have had to live with, was acquiring inexpensive gold optionality in the gold market through remote places and are stuck with that strategy. They are going to really struggle for a number of years.

Has broken substantial declining trends. Bottomed in June and is on a new trend. This stock gains an average of 60% during its seasonal strength from July to October.

(A Top Pick May 13/13. Up 10.95%.) Had been doing some bottom fishing. Gold sector has been really hit. This is in a lot better position than a lot of other gold miners. Have a good cash position.

Finds that management just messed up a bit too much on performance. Still have a number of issues to resolve. His 1^st choice would be GoldCorp (G-T) followed by Agnico (AEM-T). If you own, he would switch to GoldCorp.

There were reports a few months ago that said companies should give the actual cost of getting gold out of the ground. If he is going to buy gold, it will be bullion. Feels there is just way too much risk with gold companies.

Thinks the worst is over for this company but he would not be a buyer. Many of the seniors, including this one, are going to have to restate their reserves and resources in the face of a $1250 gold price as they are carrying them on their books at a higher price.

Had a $3.2 billion write-down. Gold stocks have been a tough place to make money generally in the last year or so. This one in particular has had one landmine after another and it is a legacy from the previous management. Have made a number of acquisitions that turned out not to be so good.

2.9% dividend but he wouldn’t look at any gold company’s dividend to be particularly safe. These are high users of capital, gold prices have fallen considerably and they are taking big write-downs and have debt on their balance sheets. Doesn’t see how gold goes up considerably.

This is in the camp like Barrick (ABX-T), where it has a lot of leverage to the gold price on the upside. If you believe in $1400-$1500 gold, this should go to $7-$8. Their big African mine has been problematic right from day one and the market is not willing to pay in advance and costs are not low.

Took some hits for acquisitions they made over the years. For someone who is long term, they could look at it.

This company was put in the penalty box because of prior and very expensive acquisitions that they are having to take huge write-downs on. Gold itself has been on a downward trend. You have to have a long-term view on gold and if you think gold is at the end of its decline, this is a good time to start picking at gold stocks.