
TSE:KEL
On a shorter-term chart, the stock is doing quite well, a gentle but up channel. There has been 2.5 years of overhead supply, and we have about 2 years of uptrend, so a good portion of overhead supply should have been digested, although the upside will be somewhat limited. It should still stay in a gentle up channel.
This started out as a gas play, but there is more oil to it. The stock market is still supporting the top companies, and this one is easily in the top 5 gas drillers in Western Canada. His problem is that he just can't get his head around gas. There is just too much of it. He would rather own the infrastructure such as pipelines.
Has a management team he can’t speak highly enough about. They’ve created a tremendous amount of value. There is not a great enough rate of change to be able to justify it on a cash flow basis, you have to take more of an asset approach. They are still in the learning curve of delineating their acreage. Well results this year have been very good. Due to where they are drilling, they are getting more liquids and less natural gas. However, you are paying a bit of a premium relative to some of their peers. He finds other names a little more attractive.
This has been a mainstay in his energy growth portfolio. It has been a pretty good performer this year. The industry views this as a natural gas stock, but they have some very nice oil pools, more specifically liquid natural gas. This is why you have seen the stock start to pick up in the last week or so. Great management. If you are looking for a growth energy stock, which comes with the volatility, this would be a name. (See Top Picks.)
An exceptionally strong management team. A good solid balance sheet and a low-cost resource. They own a lot of their infrastructure and have access to many different outputs should one break down. Management team has shifted from being an exploration company to more of a development program. They’ve proven up reserves which are very, very substantial, and well delineated. Their natural gas is very liquids rich, and the wells they are drilling have been very extensive. He thinks this company is easily a double in a more normal energy price environment. Really strong management team which owns about 20% of the company.
A really dynamic group. You will get a return when they discover a lot of resource. It is going to be harder to see with their strategy, but one day you will wake up and the company will have found a huge amount of resource, and it will just get sold to somebody. This is one that you just have to sit on and let them do their thing.
Liquids rich gas. A well-regarded management team. Impeccable track record of execution. They focused on acquiring their 640,000 acres through the downturn. They weren’t focused on costs and efficiencies yet. Thinks 2017 will be a critical year where they now refocus their attention on cost efficiencies and show people the prospectivity of the land. NAV is quite high and people were wondering when they were going to grow into that, and he thinks 2017 is the start of that. (Analysts’ price target is $8.75.)
They have really built up a wonderful suite of assets. Some are tops in the class. They may be selling the company in the next 1 to 3 years (she is predicting).