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Stockchase Opinions

Christine PooleLVMH (Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton)LVMUYTOP PICKMar 14, 2013

Luxury sector is relatively recession resistant. Quickly picks up as things improve. They are in many segments and well represented geographically. It is also a play on emerging markets. Trades in Milan and on the Pink Sheets in New York

N/A

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$117.17

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

clothing
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TOP PICK

Worries over a weak Chinese (and global) consumer are already reflected in the share price. He owned this a long time ago and he wants to buy it back. LVMH boasts a long track record of stability and growth. Also, their brands command pricing power. Return on capital is a consistent and attractive 15%, and steadier than the luxury sector. They can grow revenues around 9%. and drive 13% EPS growth.

(Analysts’ price target is $195.00)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 12/23, Down 11%)

Worries over sluggish Chinese economy. Outperformed the MSCI World Index since 2008, but struggling the last 8-9 months. Middle class wealth will continue to grow over time. Clear leader in luxury market, fine longer term. Bouncing off long-term 200-week MA, a significant technical. Forecasting 13% EPS growth for several years. 

TOP PICK

Believes excellent company for long term investor. 10 year total return is ~22% annualized. Luxury sector has consumers weather recessions better than lower end retail outlets. Excellent management teams with strong brand values. 

TOP PICK

Global leader in luxury with best portfolio of brands under ownership.
Very resilient business with diversification across business lines.
Fashion and leather goods - engine of profits.
Higher-end consumers not under pressure.
China lifting ban on group travel will also help.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It has been stellar for the last couple of years and he wished he had held it longer. However don't chase it - buy on weakness.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 22/22, Up 36%)

Core holding. One question is the succession. Current CEO is one of the best operators in the market he's ever encountered, would be difficult to replace. Best portfolio of luxury assets. Navigated through Covid. Insane pricing power. Operating margins at record highs. Great execution and brand strength.

TOP PICK

World's largest producer and distributor of luxury goods. Diversified businesses. Acquisition strategy working well. Share buybacks. Long term, consumer trend for premium products continues strong. Inelastic demand, no matter the price. Chart is all about higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 1.55%.

(Analysts’ price target is $210.00)
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has done incredibly well lately. They have a unique brand, which makes their value. A lot of growth comes from China, so LVMH will continue to do well. They've reduced piracy very well and grow online operations well too.

HOLD

Still likes it. A market that operates completely differently than everything else. Even when the price goes up, there's still high demand, as customers are insulated from ups and downs of economy. Perceived scarcity is prestige. The best luxury company in the world. Diversified. Great long-term hold.

TOP PICK
Diversified global producer and distributor of luxury goods. Several distinct business segments. Well known, high-end brands. Executed well on its acquisition strategy. Long term, there's a growing trend for premium products. Plus, growing middle class. Both are strong catalysts. An outperformer since 2016. He expects continued ability to keep market share and margins strong for many years. Reports January 27. Yield is 1.27%.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 15/21, Down 6%) Still loves it. Luxury goods behemoth. Fashion leathers division is almost 50% of revenues. Sustainable growth, healthy balance sheet, great cashflow, scale advantages, management track record. Expects 23-24x multiple in a couple of years, with share price 22-25% higher.
BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Vuitton trades at a 26.7x PE and stable 0.91 beta. It pays only a 1.67% dividend yield, but it’s safe at a 41.82% payout ratio. For the past month,Vuitton has been climbing from its low of $112.04 to around $130. It currently trades above its 50-day moving average of $122.25, which would have been the best time to buy this, but is still far behind its 200-day of $143.39. Read 3 Money Stocks to Beat Inflation for our full analysis.
TOP PICK
Believes company is the best luxury conglomerate in the world. Company operates 5 different segments (fashion goods, watches, wines & cosmetics & retail). Best portfolio of brands. Fashion & leather goods is the golden goose of the business (most profitable). Expecting strong growth from USA & European market. Resilient name that will preform regardless of market conditions (luxury products always in demand).
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Alcohol stocks preforming well at the moment. Believes stock is too expensive to buy. Wait to buy when stock falls to $650. 15% dividend growth is great.
TOP PICK
World's largest luxury group. Well known brands with enduring pricing power. Great long-term prospects. Advantage of scale. Management has long-term track record of acquiring and growing brands. High margins. Expects revenue growth in high single digits, which means double digit EPS growth and good upside for the stock. Yield is 0.85%.