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LVMH (Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton)LVMUYBUYJun 27, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Worries over a weak Chinese (and global) consumer are already reflected in the share price. He owned this a long time ago and he wants to buy it back. LVMH boasts a long track record of stability and growth. Also, their brands command pricing power. Return on capital is a consistent and attractive 15%, and steadier than the luxury sector. They can grow revenues around 9%. and drive 13% EPS growth.
(Analysts’ price target is $195.00)Worries over sluggish Chinese economy. Outperformed the MSCI World Index since 2008, but struggling the last 8-9 months. Middle class wealth will continue to grow over time. Clear leader in luxury market, fine longer term. Bouncing off long-term 200-week MA, a significant technical. Forecasting 13% EPS growth for several years.
Core holding. One question is the succession. Current CEO is one of the best operators in the market he's ever encountered, would be difficult to replace. Best portfolio of luxury assets. Navigated through Covid. Insane pricing power. Operating margins at record highs. Great execution and brand strength.
World's largest producer and distributor of luxury goods. Diversified businesses. Acquisition strategy working well. Share buybacks. Long term, consumer trend for premium products continues strong. Inelastic demand, no matter the price. Chart is all about higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 1.55%.
(Analysts’ price target is $210.00)Still likes it. A market that operates completely differently than everything else. Even when the price goes up, there's still high demand, as customers are insulated from ups and downs of economy. Perceived scarcity is prestige. The best luxury company in the world. Diversified. Great long-term hold.
Great story. You have to remember that a fair chunk of the value is Louis Vuitton, not the other parts of the business. These stocks have underperformed lately because of the emerging markets. Thinks that over 50% of their business comes from emerging markets. Relative to its peers, it is in a much better situation as it has a broader brand base. Had a very large expansion plan over the last several years, expanding in the emerging markets area and CapX is slowing down and that should help them. Trading at about 14X earnings so not excessively expensive. Has the potential to go much higher.