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Stockchase Opinions

Keith RichardsMONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC Common StockMDLZCOMMENTJul 09, 2018

It is quite a trading stock. There is a floor around the high thirties and some technical resistance at the high forties. It is not a bad range. Don't buy and hold it.

$42.17

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$60.55

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

Consumer Products
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BUY

Owns shares and believes in prospects of business. Chocolate business very strong. "Snack business" also growing at high rate. Able to pass on costs to consumers. Brand loyalty continues to grown. Strong array of products. Stable business that is good for defensive investors. 

BUY

Owns a lot of products that don't make money, no return on capital, so needs to rationalize its products. Own these companies now, because you'll reap from the fruition of these efforts. May be some volatility.

TOP PICK

Have pricing power, passing higher prices to consumers. Are rapidly growing in emerging markets like Africa. It yields 2.4% now and grows its dividend at 13% compounded over the last decade. It's highly defensive, boasting strong brands like Cadbury.

(Analysts’ price target is $79.05)
TOP PICK

Very strong portfolio of brands (Oreo & Ritz etc.). Recent selloff of stock due to weight loss drugs hitting the market. Not worried about selloff and believes is over stated. Very attractive share price to buy at. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 18/22, Up 12.7%)

It pulled back due to a new obesity drug with concerns that this may reduce consumption of their products which are mainly snacks - it leads in biscuits and chocolate. However there is lots of brand loyalty and it is branching out into different categories. There is long term growth with 35% of its revenue coming from emerging  markets. It is at a good entry point.

DON'T BUY

The impact of the weight-loss drugs will heavily affects the snacks business. Also, their valuation is high.

TOP PICK

#1 global share in biscuits. #2 in chocolate, and growing its share. Very little private label competition in biscuits and chocolate, huge brand loyalty. A name to own for the decade. Increased both prices and volume. EM is higher growth, but cyclical. Divesting and redeploying capital. Raised EPS guidance to 12% YOY. Reasonable multiple. Yield is 2.38%.

(Analysts’ price target is $82.44)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 14/22, Up 27%)

#1 in biscuits and #2 in chocolate behind Mars and gaining share. Benefited during Covid when people ate more snacks. Consumers keep buying established brands like theirs. They raised prices and have pricing power, so volumes rose. Expanding into cake and pastries and emerging markets.

BUY

Consumer and packaged food stocks can keep rallying. As we approach another debt-ceiling crisis, these stocks are good places to invest in. The whole sector. They are resilient. People take comfort in their favourite brand, from Campbell's soup to Hershey's chocolate. Consumers still buy them despite higher prices. Supply chain problems have been solved and freight costs have fallen, too. Raw costs like paper (cardboard) are falling, though such companies have existing purchase contracts. There's still room to run.

TOP PICK

Demonstrated strength of company with performance the past year.
Despite increasing costs, still able to raise prices.
High brand loyalty.
Making steps into new categories (baked goods and pastries).
Well positioned for the long term shareholder.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 14/21, Up 6%) Consumer staple business that is leader is chocolate, biscuits and candy. Well positioned company that owns many shares in. Not much competition from private label brands. Geographic exposure is excellent (35% in emerging markets). Expanding into pastries and other products. Recent acquisition of Cliff Bar going well. Solid dividend rate at 2%.
TOP PICK
Sort of defensive. They are the leader in biscuits, and #2 in chocolate and candy. They have high brand loyalty and little competition. However, they face higher input costs and supply chain woes, but sales have held up. She owns this because emerging market organic growth is higher than in developed. MDLZ is branching out into baked goods and pastries. It pays under a 2% dividend which they tend to grow. (Analysts’ price target is $70.32)
WAIT
Great global consumer products company. Stocks in this sector haven't fallen as much, so it's tough to find value. He'd wait. Try to find something in the sector with better growth characteristics and better valuation.
WEAK BUY
We're in an environment where companies that can pass through pricing are going to do quite well. Interesting place to hide out from inflation. He wouldn't have a problem buying at these levels, but see his Top Picks.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 12/21, Up 5%) Still likes it. Long held it. A leading player in biscuits and chocolates and are expanding in emerging markets which offers wider margins. Their recent acquisition in biscuits was in the high-growth nutritional bar business. Their Q2 report said they are are increasing costs to offset inflation, but their volume is holding up well. Why? There is less competition in private-label biscuits and chocolate. Pays a 2.4% yield.