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TSE:NA

National Bank of Canada (NA.TO)

221.68
+1.27 (0.58%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
338 watching
0
DON'T BUY
NA vs. BNS Prefers BNS. Refocused, sold off non-core international geographies. Well positioned. Gives you exposure to international and Latin American economies, which may be uneven but represent more attractive long-term growth.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 04/21, Up 12%) Still his #1 Canadian bank pick. NA has little competition in Quebec, compared to the rest of Canada. Are very successful in managing wealth and proprietory trading. Will benefit from rising interest rates. A solid pick.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 04/21, Up 7%) It's one of the best Canadian banks. There's room for the dividend to rise. They make a lot of money from wealth management and they will benefit from higher interest rates. This month, the banks are outperforming tech.
DON'T BUY
NA vs. TD He prefers TD over NA and advocates taking profits if a position has become overweight. Opportunity in TD looks better for 2022. TD is over-capitalized the most. TD's US-centric footprint is more net-margin sensitive than Canadian banks. With interest rates poised to rise, this should advantage TD. TD's capital markets business (with lots of operating leverage) is less important to its earnings than NA, and this will weigh on NA. NA's CEO is new, whereas TD's is seasoned.
COMMENT

New CEO. About as textbook a succession planning as you'll ever see. Louis Vachon leaves pretty big shoes. It's been the best performer of the big 6 banks under his tenure. New CEO has been the COO, career NA employee for 23 years, digitally savvy, ran capital markets, known to the board and investors. Business as usual under his watch.

TOP PICK
Used to be slammed with exposure to Quebec, but their economic backdrop is better in Quebec than elsewhere. Wealth management business is doing well. Owns the platform that portfolio manager uses. At 11.5x earnings with 3.5% dividend yield. Thinks it is attractively priced. (Analysts’ price target is $100.42)
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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK
Question: Which major Canadian bank has performed the best year-to-date. TD? Royal? Nope. National Bank. Shares have climbed over 32%, just ahead of the Bank of Nova Scotia. The bigger siblings may get the love, but National Bank is prospering in the shadows. This despite NB disappointing the street last week when it released its Q2. Profits topped estimates, but revenue in the financial markets unit slipped 5.2% from a year ago. Then again, investors had high expectations going into this report, and NB's report was overall strong. YOY, overall net income more than doubled to $801 million or $2.25 per share. The company beat the expected $2.00 EPS by 25 cents, marking NB's fourth-straight beat. Problem is, NB shares have run up fast this year and the street sees only 4.21% upside ahead at a price target of $98.25 (based on four holds and four buys). If you already own, you better be DRIPping, and newbies can enter on even a modest dip.
TOP PICK
Best operating leverage in its business model of the Canadian banks. 6% dividend growth. Good exposure to a new business cycle. Yield is 3.23%. (Analysts’ price target is $88.67)
BUY

Thinks of best business first, and then country second. His clients own National Bank, TD, RY, and JPM. Best banks with the best management teams. Jaime Dimon at JPM is the very best. In Canada, his favourite is always National, with smart acquisitions and growing in wealth management. All Canadian banks are under-levered. You have to be there.

BUY

Tough year for the banks. Q4 will be released in a few weeks, and you never know what you're going to get. Brighter days are ahead, and the market's already figured that out. BMO is not his favourite. Prefers National, TD, Royal. You'll do fine with the Canadian banks. Some concerns around fintech. Low interest rates will be a problem, but offset by recovering economy. Good time to add for dividend seekers.

STRONG BUY

Along with TD and Royal, three of the greatest Canadian banks. Fee-generating machines. Investing in wealth management side. Big improvement in earnings in 2021. No hesitation in buying.

TOP PICK
Very steady, despite Covid. Healthy capital, continues to pay dividend. Deferred payments have dropped. Well placed as the economy recovers. Trading at 12x earnings. Big enough to not go up and down like a cork. Yield is 3.95%. (Analysts’ price target is $69.27)
HOLD
Has done quite well. Capital markets have been an area of strength lately, so this will be in its favour. Reserves went up quite a bit last quarter, and they were conservative in their estimates. They can weather this downturn.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
It is the second highest valuation of Canadian bank stocks. He thinks it will ultimately be headed back towards $45, even though his model calls for $69. He would like to see a pullback before buying in. He thinks all the Canadian banks will revisit the lows back in March.
HOLD
NA has done incredibly well relative to the Canadian banks. The hard part has been to be considered a non-Quebec bank. He likes how they have grown their investment bank activities. They have not shown growth outside of Canada, like the larger chartered banks have.
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