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TSE:NPI

Northland Power Inc (NPI.TO)

22.70
-0.15 (0.66%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
378 watching
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Despite a revenue decline in recently reported earnings, due to a drop in offshore wind production, we see this as short term and reiterate this renewable energy developer as a TOP PICK.  It trades at 1.5x book and supports a 12% ROE.  The dividend is a good yield, supported by a payout ratio under 70% of cash flow.  We like they have increased cash reserves, while aggressively retiring debt.  We continue to recommend a stop at $21, looking to achieve $36 -- upside potential over 40%.  Yield 4.7%

(Analysts’ price target is $36.20)
HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

NPI is trading at a 20.6x Forward P/E and yielding 4.9%. It is a company that has executed well in the past and some wind projects should be coming on line soon, contributing to growth. After the declines here, we would prefer to hold at this stage. 
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BUY ON WEAKNESS

Though few years for the business.
Renewables business sector being hit hard.
Rising interest rates hard on business (borrowing costs up).
Very large projects will be harder to complete with higher borrowing costs.
Owns shares, buying on weakness. 

WEAK BUY
NPI vs. RCI.B

Regulatory issues in Spain. A great stock that needs to be owned longer term by ESG investors. Not much EPS growth for the next couple of years, very expensive valuation.

Rogers is a cheaper telecom. Synergies coming from Shaw. Nice dividend. Telcos will be facing more competition. 

Risk/reward is good for both, so you can get in and do well, but Rogers is the lower-risk play.

HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

The overall industry has been hit hard, and we think most of the 'bubble'-ness is out. NPI has a strong advantage in the wind segment and we think the growth prospects look solid. A combination of long-dated assets and rising interest rates have not been very polite to the renewable industry. However, this is more industry related than company driven. If patience is running out, we would be okay switching out, but fundamentally we think NPI is OK. 
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DON'T BUY

He's not as bullish on renewables. Cost of these projects is very high, and it takes a long time to earn this money back. His portfolios tilt towards energy, rather than renewables. Look elsewhere.

WATCH
Dead money or a good buying opportunity?

The whole green space was bid up, and then got hit with higher interest rates. If we're in a higher for longer rate environment, you want the utilities with the best growth profile. FTS and BIP.UN have really strong growth profiles. He believes rates will start to come down, and share prices of utilities will improve.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

NPI is an independent power producer focusing on clean and green projects.  It trades at 21x earnings, 1.5x book and supports an 18% ROE.  It pays a nice dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $21, looking to achieve $39 -- upside potential over 50%.  Yield 4.7%

(Analysts’ price target is $39.13)
COMMENT

The issue is interest rates. If you bought for the dividend then you can hold for when interest rates are lower. If you bought for growth then sell it.

HOLD

All renewables got ahead of themselves. Some exposure to price caps in UK. Longer term, you want exposure to renewables and NPI should participate. Good long-term hold in the offshore wind space.

SELL

He scaled back on a lot of renewables. A great long-term investment theme, but interest sensitive and also cost sensitive. Laying out huge amounts of capital for development projects. With labour and material costs going up, hard to maintain level of investment returns they're used to. It's about rising rates and capturing that investment return. He owned it until recently.

BUY

Experts at offshore wind. Cost overruns are manageable. Overhang is financing huge backlog of projects. Market didn't like its issuing shares. Bond hybrid now funds its needs. Taiwan project has political risk. Huge opportunities in Europe. Possible acquisition target because it's small.

WEAK BUY

A top renewable play. Had a balance sheet problem, but sold 49% in their North Sea project. Good. It has survived tough sledding, but remains expensive at 26x PE with limited growth. Overall, he likes it, but prefers BEP.UN.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks

NPI faces challenges in the short-term, but I’m confident that given management’s track record that NPI will stickhandle them and come out stronger down the road. Inflation and rising rates have been a double-headed problem for all utilities, but are showing signs of easing. The share sell-off on that recent earnings miss was deserved, but overdone as shares hit a 52-week low of $27.20. Right before Victoria Day, shares recovered to nearly $30. Read 3 All Canadian for our full analysis.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 06/23, Down 12.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with NPI has triggered its stop at $30.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 15%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation.  

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