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TSE:NPI
NPI is trading at a 20.6x Forward P/E and yielding 4.9%. It is a company that has executed well in the past and some wind projects should be coming on line soon, contributing to growth. After the declines here, we would prefer to hold at this stage.
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Regulatory issues in Spain. A great stock that needs to be owned longer term by ESG investors. Not much EPS growth for the next couple of years, very expensive valuation.
Rogers is a cheaper telecom. Synergies coming from Shaw. Nice dividend. Telcos will be facing more competition.
Risk/reward is good for both, so you can get in and do well, but Rogers is the lower-risk play.
The overall industry has been hit hard, and we think most of the 'bubble'-ness is out. NPI has a strong advantage in the wind segment and we think the growth prospects look solid. A combination of long-dated assets and rising interest rates have not been very polite to the renewable industry. However, this is more industry related than company driven. If patience is running out, we would be okay switching out, but fundamentally we think NPI is OK.
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The whole green space was bid up, and then got hit with higher interest rates. If we're in a higher for longer rate environment, you want the utilities with the best growth profile. FTS and BIP.UN have really strong growth profiles. He believes rates will start to come down, and share prices of utilities will improve.
He scaled back on a lot of renewables. A great long-term investment theme, but interest sensitive and also cost sensitive. Laying out huge amounts of capital for development projects. With labour and material costs going up, hard to maintain level of investment returns they're used to. It's about rising rates and capturing that investment return. He owned it until recently.
NPI faces challenges in the short-term, but I’m confident that given management’s track record that NPI will stickhandle them and come out stronger down the road. Inflation and rising rates have been a double-headed problem for all utilities, but are showing signs of easing. The share sell-off on that recent earnings miss was deserved, but overdone as shares hit a 52-week low of $27.20. Right before Victoria Day, shares recovered to nearly $30. Read 3 All Canadian for our full analysis.
Despite a revenue decline in recently reported earnings, due to a drop in offshore wind production, we see this as short term and reiterate this renewable energy developer as a TOP PICK. It trades at 1.5x book and supports a 12% ROE. The dividend is a good yield, supported by a payout ratio under 70% of cash flow. We like they have increased cash reserves, while aggressively retiring debt. We continue to recommend a stop at $21, looking to achieve $36 -- upside potential over 40%. Yield 4.7%
(Analysts’ price target is $36.20)