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Norfolk SouthernNSCDON'T BUYJan 17, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Great acquisition of Kansas City by CP was a game changer. CNR is the gold standard in North America. US is not in a recession yet, but if it does happen, all the rails will get cheaper. Don't settle for just a 1% differential from the historical average, when you might be able to get it 20% cheaper.
CSX Corp (CSX-N) or Norfolk Southern (NSC-N)? He doesn’t own either of these, but his preference would be with CSX. It trades at a better multiple. Management is taking the operating ratio down. It is just north of 70 right now and they want to move it into the 65 range. They have found substitutes for their coal business. Have been quite successful, whether it is chemicals or automobiles.
He owns CN but the rail business was very fragmented and now has consolidated. These have been really great companies over the last little while because they are reengineering themselves. They have been fantastic plays. The growth in the commodity areas has really helped their businesses. Not sure you will see any more acquisitions. These are going to do incredibly well and have good pricing power.
The rail space has seen a great run on the back of part of a Trump rally as well as the head winds from last year rolling over. She held CSX, but sold in the last few weeks on this rally. Last time we had a really big pickup in volume we saw a reduction in margins so she took money off the table.