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NYSE:PG
His model prices $78, a 7% downside. This is a large cap stock and is going to have a beta of 1, which means that if the market is going to be up 20%, this one will probably be up 20%. Doesn’t particularly like this one. There are other possibilities out there, but you are not going to get hurt either.
Well-run company. Likes the multi-national aspect to it. Has a nice tailwind because of the depreciation of the US$. The only drawback is that it is a little bit rich right now and is trading at about 18X current. Not a super duper fast grower. Have a tendency to make a lot of acquisitions to maintain their growth. Good dividend yield.
Procter & Gamble (PG-N) or diversify with an ETF? In a lot of ways, mutual funds or ETFs are intended to give you diversification with smaller amounts of money and low costs. Until you build up a portfolio of some size, and can diversify in terms of numbers of positions, he would probably go with ETFs or mutual funds. Regarding Procter & Gamble, this kind of stock has befuddled him. In the last 6-8 months, these kinds of stocks are coming down in price because they were pushing up against their higher end on an evaluation basis.
Had a few issues over the last little while. Large companies like this were all highlighted as to their ability to grow in China. China has been a lot more difficult to deal with than people thought. This has hurt the stock a little. All in all, it is a great company with great products and is not trading at a very high multiple. Global growth will help this company. Made a few changes, which will help them. Expecting better top line growth.