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Stockchase Opinions

Paul TaylorParamount ResourcesPOU.TOPAST TOP PICKJun 23, 2015

(Top Pick May 16/14, Down 45.14%) Solid management team, good assets and a potential to grow production. They should double production between 2015 to 2016.

$30.13

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$29.48

As of Jun 12, 2026. Market Open.

oilgas
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DON'T BUY

Very smart CEO. Hunting for an acquisition. Until that happens, he prefers other names. Trades at 3x at $80 oil. Only 7% free cashflow yield, as they are pursuing growth. Not the most liquid name, tough to buy.

BUY

Also owns drilling and service rig business.
Debt free which is good.
Has been buying shares.
Excellent company with strong management team.
Lots of insider ownership.

TOP PICK

The oil and gas sectors are good for the long term and increased demand. They are volatile in the short term. There is slow but steady U.S. shale deposit exhaustion. The long term fundamentals of Paramount Resources are good.     Buy 7   Hold 3   Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $39.00)
BUY

Well respected CEO with Jim Riddell.
Tightly held company within Riddell family.
Company roughly debt free.
Seeing meaningful upside. 
Potentially 100% upside in share price.


Unspecified
Wells are paying out in weeks or months. Has a $60 target but doesn't own since he doesn't have the same level of conviction as he does in other names for a catalyst.
BUY
Done exceedingly well, near record highs. Still has a long way to go. LNG Canada will benefit it. A lot of drilling will have to happen in Alberta and BC to bring on significant new volume for the export market. A core name for your portfolio.
BUY
Great company that is trading cheap. Currently trading at ~2.1x cash flow & 23% free cash flow yield. Could privatize in ~3.0 years. Own a large position in Clearwater position via Cavalier Energy. Expecting a $50 share price.
COMMENT

There is a rumour that Paramount has acquired a 9% holding in Nuvista. Paramount is outspending their cash flow and announced, if required, they may look to sell off assets and this could Nuvista. Both companies share prices have been pushed sharply lower as a result.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 25/18, Down 47%) Sold it more than 6 months ago. Nothing wrong with this company but suffers with the rest of the Canadian group.
DON'T BUY
A big condensate company that has struggled to execute. The market is waiting for them to deleverage. He would not buy them today. If you are bullish condensate, he would Nuvista or Kelt.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 25/18, Down 49%) He sold it a while ago and now owns no energy.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick September 15/17 Down 38%) This is the third version of this company, he suggests. Now a 90,000 boed producer it has stagnated with a large natural gas position. There is inconsistency in delivering economic results. He likes their assets, but he has gone to the sidelines to wait for that consistency to develop. They are trying to move their portfolio to include 45% liquids.

DON'T BUY

It is a fine company, he says, but would prefer to back other management teams who are doing a better job paying down debt. He is bullish heavy oil differentials for next year, so is targeting other companies.

COMMENT

Energy should get a bump with positive news. Enjoyed a good run in 2016 to mid-2017, then went sideways. If this falls below $12, then something significant is going on, but right now it looks okay.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

A past top pick. He likes it. It's viewed as a natural gas stock, but it's really a condensate. Paramount missed its last quarter due to weather and a problem at a plant. It's a misunderstood stock. They run it like a private company and don't always tell investors what they're doing. Buy it on dips.