50% off Premium Yearly

NASDAQ:PYPL
A bit of an aggressive call, given pressure on tech stocks. Positioned very well as a digital enterprise. On a lot more platforms. Benefits from global expansion of digital payments. Trading under 20x forward earnings, good balance sheet, generating free cashflow. Activist firm is coming down hard on costs. Always execution risk, but a lot is baked in. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $98.46)Revenue matched estimates and EPS was about 3% better ($1.24 vs $1.198).
PayPal is in the early stages of optimizing operating performance, with a margin turnaround in 3Q22 likely to lead improvement of about 125 bps in 2023.
This will be aided by slower non-transaction expense growth, which is on track to normalize to pre-pandemic levels.
Revenue growth could be faster than the mid-single-digit growth assumed in cost planning by management.
Cross-border volumes, after being impacted severely by the pandemic, could surprise on the upside, depending on the economy.
The strong growth in Braintree volumes, launch of a commerce platform (PCPP) for unbranded checkouts for small and medium businesses, conversion of existing customers to monthly active app users, and opportunities in offline payments should provide a long runway for revenue growth.
The worst is likely over for the stock, and it now looks attractively priced at 16X earnings.
The balance sheet remains very strong and cash flow generation is very solid ($6.2B last year, with $5.5B in free cash flow).
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
It reports Thursday. There's so much competition now, and Paypal margins are shrinking. They laid off 2,000 or 7% of staff earlier this week to cut costs. You don't do if you feel good about your earnings. BTW, the fastest part of Apple Services includes payments; who needs PayPal when Apple payments are built into your phone?
Fintech has been in the doghouse since January 2022, but she believes in PYPL. It has valuable assets (45% of all people use Paypal for purchases). Venmo is picking up traction. Shares could be hitting bottom now. It's a value stock, trading at 13x forward PE. They will make their numbers this year. Business is decent. They're growing market share on the Venmo side.