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Transocean Inc.RIGTOP PICKAug 20, 2004Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
The whole energy complex is falling today. There are concerns that people priced in too much growth in some of the pro-growth policies Mr. Trump wants to push, which are going to come later and more diluted. However, this is a survivor in energy and is the go-to company when it comes to deep-water drilling. Energy prices are still too cheap, and over the long haul they are going to drift higher, and this company will be a beneficiary. You could use pullbacks like this to add to your position.
One issue with these companies is where does oil go? This was trading at some value below the value of their actual rigs out there. He believes oil will be higher over the longer-term and this is a good company. If you compare the volatility over the next little while, it will do well and you can see a reasonable rate of return on it. Probably worth buying at these levels.
Big in offshore drilling. You could make a case that the value of the rigs is worth more than the share price right now. Oil/gas business is in a difficult environment, especially on the offshore side where costs are much higher. Expects oil will go down a little bit more when you will have a better opportunity to buy it.
High debt, which they are paying down from free cashflow. Rig counts are up, a big milestone. Super-duper, high beta name to own when oil's not falling 5% in a day. Be strategic when to add. 12-ish% free cashflow yield, but see his Top Picks for a more compelling name.