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Stockchase Opinions

Beth Hamilton-KeenSaputo Inc.SAP.TOTOP PICKJan 09, 2009

Major dairy producer and supplier in Canada. Also have a significant weight in the US and other global markets. Recession resistant. Great balance sheet. Have been growing by acquisition.
$19.93

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$41.18

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

food processing
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HOLD

Seasonality a factor in this stock - performs better in the summer. Large brand with excellent product selection. Expecting share price to go higher. Would recommend holding. $35 share price seems reasonable. 

HOLD

Nothing wrong with business, but share price has been weak. Inflation and rising food prices tough on bottom line. Demand for premium brands falling recnetly, but overall a good business. Would recommend holding. Not good for capital appreciation, but safe business. 

DON'T BUY

Used to make smart acquisitions that increased margins significantly. Commodity business, as cheese prices move around. Prefers more capital light, less capital-intensive businesses than manufacturers. Bottom of the list on ROIC.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has had commodity pressures lately with inflation and rising costs. Cost inputs have reduced margins, but is expecting improvements going forward. Sector has been under pressure, but sees better days ahead. Has a strong brand. 

BUY

Lots of acquisitions. Integration and supply-chain issues have largely been solved. Buy at these levels and you'll do well over the next several years. Well run. 

DON'T BUY

They overexpanded. He owned this years ago but in no rush to return to it.

COMMENT

If it bounces off current support in a sharp "hook up", then step in for an intermediate trade.

TOP PICK

International. Missed earnings, and provided cautious outlook. High quality. Good management team with high level of ownership. Attractive multiple. Lots to like for the long term. Yield is 2.61%.

(Analysts’ price target is $35.57)
HOLD

Bit of noise from 2021 that it did bump into. Will probably consolidate for a bit. He's always looking for breakouts, so would be good if it broke above high $30s. Rates an OK 6/10, but not a jump-on-it stock.

BUY
Stock price same as 10 years ago.

Largest in Canada, #3 in the US, #10 globally. Likes that Saputo family is largest shareholder. Busy making acquisitions. Historically, profitable with good ROEs. Some lesser profitable acquisitions have increased sales, but not net income as much. Synergies will eventually improve the bottom line.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 18/22, Up 18%)

Consumer products strong - will expect trend to continue.
Excellent Canadian brand that will continue to own.
Strong dividend yield.
Good long term investment. 

BUY

Inflation has pushed input costs. $34 is support, and has been trending up in the past month. Now, is a good time to enter this. But there'll be overhead resistance from existing shareholders waiting to sell to break even.

HOLD

Founder led business that has grown massively.
Cheese business growing strongly.
Unsure on future of dairy products.
Good long term hold (5-10 years).
Consumer staple style business. 


BUY ON WEAKNESS
Recovered nicely. Good stock moving forward. Good story and long-term track record. You can buy at these levels, buy more if it goes lower.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Too late with the runup? Strong run recently. Insider buying. Consumer staples have done quite well, and tend to do well this time of year. Good company. Wait for a better opportunity, say $31.