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NYSE:STZ
This has a number of things in its favour right now. Technically it is in a distinct upward trend, outperforming the market with positive momentum, so the technicals are good. Seasonality is more important, because on a seasonal basis it historically reaches a very important low right around the middle of October, and moves higher right through until the middle of February.
This has had tremendous price momentum. It is really a consolidator of wineries and alcoholic beverages. Valuation is OK. Good ROE’s, a little expensive on EB to EBITDA and Price to Free Cash Flow. They have a decent balance sheet, so can continue their strategy of rolling up smaller competitors. Dividend yield of 1%. Not super cheap.
Liquor and wine. The wine businesses are where they are starting to rip. They are one of the largest liquor distributor and consumer package companies out there. This is growing at 5% versus beer companies at 1% or 2%. Also, owns some very interesting beers. The wine is where they are really getting the pickup, because millennials are starting to want it, and there is a real move in wine sales. Yield of 1.02%.
In the alcoholic beverage space. Have a very broad portfolio of wine, imported beer and distilled spirits. Their major brand would be Corona in beer. This provides investors with both defence characteristics and growth attributes. Trading at 22X forward earnings. Has a 15% long-term growth rate, which is a good growth rate for a consumer staples name and still below market beta. Dividend yield of 0.89%.
She likes booze companies. This is one of her favourites. It has been recently beaten up because they import a lot from Mexico. She sees a long term positive on the company. It is headline risk that has come through rather than fundamentals. (Analysts’ target: $180).