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Twin Butte Energy (TBE.TO)

COMMENT

Recently sold his holdings. Likes the company over the longer-term but they are a heavy oil producer in Western Canada and right now are facing some pretty significant heavy oil differentials. Has a decent hedge position. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a bit of pressure on the stock if people get concerned about the differential.

BUY

The chart is finding some bottoms and they are higher. It is in a consolidation phase. Exit below $2.70

COMMENT

Small producer in Western Canada focused on heavy oil. Have re-created themselves with a few mergers and paid out a dividend. Got a multiple re-rating because people are more attracted to dividend stocks right now. Have done a very good job of increasing their production. Have a hybrid model where they are expecting 5%-6% yield but only 3% of production growth. 6.2% dividend.

COMMENT

(Market Call Minute.) A dividend payer. If you believe in over $80 oil, the dividend is safe.

BUY

Heavy oil producer. Just closed a couple of acquisitions recently. Yield appears to be pretty sustainable. Good coverage with their amount of debt with their cash flow. You need to be cautious as they are a smaller cap name.

TOP PICK

Just made an accretive acquisition. Just increased the dividend and it is sustainable. Phenomenal steward of capital. Yield close to 7%. Becoming premier heavy oil producer.

TOP PICK

6.6% dividend. Just went up. Heavy oil producer. 19k barrels per day and buying little producers that are cash starved. Dividend is safe. 3-4% production growth target.

BUY

Oil leveraged company, just had a great second quarter. Some Heavy Oil which differentiates them. It’s a bit small for him. Management team has a history of starting and selling or minimizing junior companies.

WATCH
Heavy oil assets. Done acquisitions. Stock has performed fairly well. He wants to watch capital efficiencies over the next couple of quarters.
COMMENT
Recently acquired a heavy oil producer and will probably do another one near-term. He would revisit this at that point.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Almost identical to Longview (LNV). Just got restructured. It is early days and they have not got he production going. Important thing is that you don’t pay up for this thing. It is going to be a really consistent income stream. Heavy oil. Prefers LNV VERY slightly. But likes both.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 18/10. Up 62.19%.) Still likes.
BUY
Payout ratio is very low. Low growth but dividend is pretty secure. He is not a yield guy.
COMMENT
Just bought it recently at about $2.10. Merging with Emerge (EME-T). He has a lot of time for management. Will be paying a dividend of 1.5 cents a month so at current prices it will be yielding about 7%.
BUY
Acquiring Emerge (EME-T) and will be paying a dividend of around 9%-9.5%. This will be pretty sustainable. Capital appreciation is probably not that fantastic, but a good yield.
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