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Opinions John Stephenson
Thunder Energy TrustTHY.UN.TODON'T BUYJun 28, 2006
Had a deduction in its distributions recently. Struggling to make some production again. Fairly gas weighted. Relatively high levels of debt.
$8.35
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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BUY
A terrific company. A natural gas producer. The cost of drilling is going up, availability of rigs is harder to get. Feels that in 6/9 months the natural gas price has to recover. Good price.
Bill Harris, CFAOwned
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HOLD
A relatively small trust. Gas weighted. You will want to see them hitting some good production numbers for 2/3 quarters in a row.
Dean OrricoOwned
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BUY
15% distribution. Has not kept up with its peers because they’ve had production problems in a couple of their fields. They had hoped to exit this year at 11,500 BOE’s a day but is coming in at 10,500. The market was looking for around 12,000/13,000 next year and that’s going to 10,500/11,000. Likes the management and thinks they will get their act together.
Peter BriegerOwned
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BUY
For pure gas income trust plays, prefers TKE Energy Trust (TKE.UN-T), Progress Energy (PGX.UN-T), Thunder Energy (THY.UN-T) and Peyto (PEY.UN-T). In the producer area Storm Exploration (SEO-T) because it was incredibly cheap at $4.60. Would sell when it gets near $7.
Peter BriegerOwned
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