iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Buy,…

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

86.73

-0.02 (0.02%)

as of Jun 18, 2026, 11:45:17 pm Market Open.

61 watching

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 17/18, Up 3%) It’s a bond. Essentially, if you want a percentage of your portfolio in bonds, this is the way to do it. However, the interest rate has gone so low that the strike price came in.

COMMENT

Bond ETFs have come off a bit, as interest rates have started to move up. For every portfolio, you want some exposure to bonds as a buffer in a correction. He owns IEF, lesser duration bonds. Don't avoid fixed income. If equity markets take a turn for the worse, at least your bond portfolio will do well.

BUY

It is long US treasuries. It is one of the best asset classes to protect your portfolio during an economic downturn. He believes we go into an economic recession in 2021.

BUY

TLT is important to play the US 10-year yield, which has made a double-bottom in the past 5 years. Then, the 10-year recently pulled back and made a higher low. If that low holds, then we'll see a series of higher lows, which will lead to the sell of a generation of that US 10-year. Now, we're seeing a big, long-term peak put into place. An uptrend is developing.

PARTIAL SELL

It's had a fantastic year from falling interest rates. Take profits or, if you don't own it already, look elsewhere.

DON'T BUY

Wouldn't touch it because it's short. It's betting that the 20 year price bond will go down. It looks like everybody is piling into the long end of bonds. You might lose your short.

SELL

US Bond ETF. It has been good to him as a firm. The world has gone to these recessionary hiding places and then gone back to thinking we are in recovery and TLT-Q has traded perfectly with that. He thinks it is incredibly over valued right now. Run for the hills from this one.

TOP PICK

Look what the 30-year bond did in 2008. In the next recession the 30-year will do very well. Also, the Canadian dollar will weaken in the next recession, so you get a double-whammy with rates going down.

WATCH

Gone kind of ballistic. It's overbought, so it could pull back. If we have any lift of the fear, then TLT may not be such a good place.

COMMENT

Tracks treasury yields. It popped up with falling interest rates. Seeing more money going to the long-end of the yield curve. The second the interest rate starts going up, this can go down 15-20%. Would be cautious about parking money there. A 5 year bond fund or GIC might be better to park money there.

HOLD

In 2008, it returned over 60% to Canadian investors. When there's a recession, and growth retracts, people want their capital returned. So, long-duration assets, like 20-year bonds, go up a lot. Don't sell any of this. Most people are underbalanced in bonds, because they get complacent in equities.

BUY

Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) He doesn't know the Treasury Yield 10 Years (TNX). If you want to play long bonds with interest rates falling (in the coming year) in an ETF, then look at TLT. (BMO has a version, ZTL). In a downturn, he likes the exposure to the US dollar.

COMMENT

To play potential interest rate volatility. He trades this often. To buy a call on a put, you have to buy a premium. He thinks interest rates will stay flat in the coming 12 months.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 29/19, Up 2%) Volatility was very low. It enjoyed a 63% return in 2018 because of the strength of the USD but mostly because of US treasuries. We had a growth shock in 2018. This actually did well in the December correction. Canadian portfolios should hold US bonds.

COMMENT

What ETF shorts the market? Don't short and avoid leveraged ETFs, but if you have to, then look at HIU-T or HIX-T. When you short, you're fighting the dividend and the natural drift upward of equities. Don't short. Instead, look at the TLT-T (up 63% in 2008) or HTB-T (up 29% in 2008); you get the outsized returns from owning a US-denominated bond and get paid to wait.

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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)