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TSE:TRP
Hasn’t owned this for years. Thinks their issues are being addressed. They took their free cash flow and invested it in power, but it didn’t work out the way they had hoped. This is a really good gas transportation business. Recently received permits to start construction on the Coastal GasLink pipeline. We are being transformed in the next decade to a natural gas economy. Dividend yield of 4.36%.
Generally, it pays to hold this for the long-term. However, valuation is not cheap for a regulated industry. Trading at 20X this year’s earnings and 16X next. The 4.3% dividend yield is very attractive, and they have a history of dividend increases. If you put it away, you may not get huge capital appreciation, but if you only get 4%-5% a year, and adding that to your yield, it is a very nice long term rate of return. A good, solid stock to hold in a portfolio.
The pipes have had a good retreat and are in an area where there is some value to them. The question is, where are you going to get growth from. If they got the Energy East go ahead, that would be a positive and would give you some growth down the road. At these prices, this is okay to buy. Has a good yield of 4.5%, with some growth on the side.
Acquiring Columbia Pipeline Group (CPGX-N) for US$10.2 billion. This is a good deal for them. They are also selling their facility that supplies New York City, a stake in the Mexican gas pipeline as well as making a $4.2 billion capital raise. If Energy East doesn’t get built, it doesn’t matter too much to them, as this deal is going to be earnings accretive next year. They continue to raise their dividend 8%-10% a year through 2020.
The Columbia transaction provides a runway of growth for a few years. You have paid up a little bit for it, but it is going to be accretive next year. If they ever get something for Keystone now, it will be nothing but a bonus. They have decent growth now without it. However, the stock has discounted the growth, and has had a really nice run. Buy this on a pullback.