(A Top Pick Nov 04/21, Up 45.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TSEM has achieved its $144 objective. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $105) to $120.
She owns no semis. Warning: Semis are very cyclical. They've done well at the start of the shortage, which will take time to alleviate. Supply will eventually meet demand. Semis are a trade that you must buy early. She invests long term.
(A Top Pick Jan 14/21, Up 13%) It is the largest producer of semi-conductors in the world - about 50% of market. First to all leading edge nodes. A key company in solving the shortage of semi-conductor wafers. Recent excellent results and investments in their business. All roads lead to this company. Still holds and would buy.
See previous comments under Past Picks. Leading edge nodes. A strong stock that has under-performed in past year. Put up strong numbers last week. Only Samsung has kept up with them.
Likes the semi market and this stock. Flat for the past year or so, recently starting to break out. If it gets above $140, there's more above that. The chip shortage means pricing control. Increasing demand for chips in all products. He owns NVDA. A cyclical play.
TSM vs. NVDA Don't forget Micron. Semi ecosystem has 4 parts. NVDA is poster child for designers. TSM poster child for foundries. Capital intensive. Third part is manufacturing. Micron is a designer and manufacturer. Fourth part is the equipment suppliers like KLA, LRCX, ASML. TSM price target of $144.50. NVDA is expensive, price target coming up soon of $329.25. AMAT would be his favourite. See his Top Picks.
Buy HIMX? No to HIMX or other Chinese stocks in this space, because these stocks have disappointed so often, but he recommends Taiwan Semi in this space.
Geopolitical risk? Geopolitical is clearly a risk, but he likes to think cooler heads will prevail. Hasn't participated in the recent rally as much, but it's only a matter of time. A great company. One of his favourite ways to play the space for foundries. Likes AMD for CPUs, NVDA for GPUs, ASML and AMAT for semi manufacturing equipment.
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly With the demand for semi-conductors on a tear, along with growth in cloud based services, and the move towards 5G, we reiterate TSM as a TOP PICK. The company is the world's largest semi-conductor manufacturer with a market share of 54%. Recently reported EPS grew by 50% over the year and is expected to continue growing over 15% annually over the next five years. It pays a reasonable dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We continue to recommend a stop loss at $105, now looking to achieve $144 -- upside potential over 25%. Yield 1.36% (Analysts’ price target is $143.79)
Beat top and bottom lines last week. Free cashflow likely to remain under pressure, as they're spending so much on capex. Should bear fruit by 2024. Value will be unlocked over 3-4 years. Buy in thirds at $116, 105, and 95. 12-month target of $145. Yield is 1.69%. (Analysts’ price target is $150.26)
They produce chips for other companies, like a foundry. He prefers this in the chip space vs. the pure plays, like Intel or Nvidia. )The current chip shortage was only partly caused by the pandemic.) The trouble with this sector is that you don't know who's on the cutting edge. It used to be Nvidia, but who will be the winner going forward? TSM is less risky because it makes chips for several companies, again like a foundry. They all have pricing power now, given the shortage. TSM's valuation is high, though cash flows are strong and they are reinvesting a lot. The chipmakers have momentum.
Started to consolidate after a tremendous run. A dynamite company, but technically has been in a range for 4 months. Key support is around $107. Buy it today with that stop, as a great long-term hold. Semis are today's copper, and this a great way to play. Geopolitical risk, as may see a challenge to its independence from China over the next few months.
It is the leading foundry in the world. He would rather buy this and sell INTL-Q. They are spending a lot in CAP-X over the next little while. They have technological leadership. They provide good exposure to automotive semiconductors. (Analysts’ price target is $144.82)
They report Thursday. They could tell if microchip prices have peaked. He is concerned in the background about China-Taiwan political relations and whether China would get its hands on this company which produces a lot of computer chips for America. He thinks TSM has more room to grow.
Taiwan Semiconductor MFG. is a American stock, trading under the symbol TSM (previously TSM-N on Stockchase) on the New York Stock Exchange (TSM). It is usually referred to as NYSE:TSM or TSM
(A Top Pick Nov 04/21, Up 45.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TSEM has achieved its $144 objective. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $105) to $120.