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UberUBERWEAK BUYMay 19, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
One of the biggest winners of 2023. It's added about $90 billion in 19 months, so it's now worth re-evaluating. There may be no or little upside in the near-term, but he's a long-term holder and will accept that. Uber has bounced off its 200-day moving average 3 times in 2023; only 5 days in 2023 were under that 200-day MA.
Uber now occupies the same mind space that google does, using it as a verb. Speaks to it becoming synonymous with ride-sharing. 131M monthly active users. Dominant and scalable platform. Strong network effect in that the more drivers and deliverers it has, the more valuable the network to both parties.
Turned a corner financially, expected to be in the black this year. Profits expected to triple next year and continue growing dynamically as far out as 2025. Added to S&P 500, should do well. Looks expensive, but will grow into its valuation, with an outlook of sub-30x. No dividend.
They've taken a lot of market share from Lyft. Isn't worried that an analyst bumped the target to $60. Fundamentals have improved a lot. Food delivery has benefitted them. Uber is essential to many for work and recreation. The balance sheet has improved. Agrees with the new target. And it will join the S&P.
For the long term The big money has already been made here by private equity investors. But Uber is still growing as a duopoly (with Lyft). It's breaking even on an EBITDA basis and not losing money as some think, but Uber Eats is losing money. Uber enjoyed double-digit growth before the virus, and will likely return to that, but earnings may be weak short term. That said, you will come out ahead for the long term. Uber doesn't spend money on cars, but rather marketing. The scalability also makes this attractive. This will grow, but not as much as in the past.