50% off Premium Yearly
Union Pacific CorpUNPBUY ON WEAKNESSJul 22, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Great acquisition of Kansas City by CP was a game changer. CNR is the gold standard in North America. US is not in a recession yet, but if it does happen, all the rails will get cheaper. Don't settle for just a 1% differential from the historical average, when you might be able to get it 20% cheaper.
They have done good things. The problem he has with this and all rails is valuation. The drop in price is helping the valuation. Trading at about 15X this year’s earnings and is starting to get into range, but it is at the high end of its historical range. He would like to see it correct a little more. About 18% of their revenue comes from coal. Also, oil by rail has hurt, but that is very much a temporary situation. On the plus side their intermodal business is very good. You could step in now and in time you will do well, but he would like to see a drop another 5%-7%, which would be a great entry point.