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NYSE:UPS

United Parcel Services (UPS)

105.00
+0.14 (0.13%)
as of Jun 18, 2026, 11:48:49 pm Market Open.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly As eCommerce trade has benefitted during the pandemic, we reiterate this major company that delivers the goods. It is a defensive holding that continues to beat analyst expectations and deliver a great ROE. It pays a good dividend backed by a payout ratio under 45% of cash flow. We also like that it is growing cash reserves, while paying down debt and buying back shares. We continue to recommend a stop at $177, looking to achieve $238 - over 15% upside. Yield 1.99%
BUY
UPS has done much better than FDX with 14% growth, better technicals, better growth rate, better chart.
BUY
UPS vs. FDX FDX chart's long-term 200-day MA is starting to flatline and fall slightly, and the share price is still beneath it. Technically, FDX doesn't look great, challenged with severe labour market constraints and rising wages, struggling to improve ground and express margins. UPS 5-year earnings growth is 12% a year, whereas FDX is around 6%. UPS has stronger technicals, with with 200-day MA moving higher and the share price above that. He'd choose UPS.
BUY
Thoughts on FedEx Today, there was a nasty downgrade of UPS, a stock and CEO he likes. He believes UPS and FedEx will do well this holiday season.
BUY
UPS vs. FDX UPS has done a lot better. FDX has grown 6% a year for 5 years, UPS 12% and he expects that momentum to continue. UPS is the better name until FDX can turn around. FDX's long-term 200-day MA is starting to dip, flatten out, and probably roll over. Trend lines and technicals don't look positive. Labour constraints and rising wages. Struggling to improve margins.
BUY
They delivered a strong quarter with great numbers, pushing shares from $180 to $210. It once hit $220, but the current level is good. He believes in the CEO and feels this will catch fire into the holiday season.
DON'T BUY
UPS vs. FDX Larger than FDX. Relies more on ground. FDX has a bigger stake in air delivery business. FDX bought into Europe and so is more international. UPS is more domestic. FDX valuation is inexpensive, but it needs a catalyst, and he feels those are right around the corner.
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Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 22/20, Up 31.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with UPS continues to progress well. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $145) to $177. If triggered, this would result in a net combined investment return of 9%.
WEAK BUY

About FedEx They're in a fantastic position, but maybe they can't maintain their momentum. When UPS spoke recently, their shares got crushed. He thinks they can achieve rich profit margins and growth. They have the edge of UPS, though UPS' price is better. At the next UPS report, he may buy more.

DON'T BUY

Stay away from FedEx and UPS. Look at the rails instead, because they really don't face competition.

BUY

UPS has done a great job showing capacity discipline and has pricing power. We're not late cycle, otherwise he would stay away from transports like UPS and FedEx. UPS Q1 numbers saw shares spike and has since given some back. Now is a buying opportunity.

BUY
The CEO is underestimated and he bets this will be a great buy over the course of this year (despite its current downturn).
BUY

UPS vs. FDX If you believe we're headed into a new economic cycle, transportation is a great place to be. UPS and FDX are the most obvious beneficiaries of the move to online shopping and logistics. Can certainly pull back. Both good, but he prefers UPS, as business model is more unified. Strong operating base. Fedex was cobbled together, operational issues.

HOLD

Hold? Stick with it. Don't worry about its history. The CEO is smart and solid. Also likes FedEx.

BUY

A Covid vaccine distribution play They have a freezer farm in the U.S. and Holland, cold enough to transport the Pfzier vaccine. That's a definite plus. They recently reported a strong quarter, but didn't issue guidance, so the stock got hammered. The stock has since recovered. The coming holiday season is crucial for UPS. He believes in the new CEO to deliver this season and in delivering vaccines.

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