Whitecap Resources (WCP.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Whitecap Resources (WCP.TO)

15.54

+0.18 (1.17%)

as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

488 watching

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He has an $8 target on it. The dividend is a monthly 6.8% dividend yield that is attractive. They have 85% oil and 15% natural gas. The dividend payout is pretty low. They may raise the dividend again. The balance sheet is in good shape with 32% debt. If it backs off it is a tremendous buy.

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BUY

This is in the small mid cap space. They are geographically diverse and this is a concern. At $60 oil, the dividend is absolutely safe. They are trading at 87% of the wells that are on stream today. So everything else you are getting for free. Very undervalued.

COMMENT

WCP-T is a good mid-cap energy company, but he is not excited about the space right now. He is not looking to add in this environment, but when he returns WCP-T would be a great company. His largest holding is VET-T.

WATCH

He likes it. It is not a large cap. Money flows have primarily been in the large caps for energy. We are just starting to see money flow into the mid-caps. This one has a nice dividend and has been punished. It could still stay lower for longer. Higher commodity prices and getting pipelines built will all help. He likes the fact that it is light oil and has a dividend.

DON'T BUY

This used to be a darling, but when WTI goes up these light oil producers just don't move. The street got concerned about their level of M&A and started to compared to PenWest. Netbacks are similar to their peers. Not a lot of reasons to own this -- especially compared to US Permian companies.

DON'T BUY

Yield of 7% which is not entirely safe. He's nervous about all Canadian oil dividends given CPG's cut today. WCP's management has been murky with its policies, so he's stayed away. To play an oil recovery, go to the majors instead like CNQ and Suncor with safer dividends. There could be a spike in oil companies if oil returns to $70. But there's better growth in the U.S. The Canadian oil space will continue to struggle. He prefers others like Vermillion that he owns.

WATCH

It is one of those fallen darlings of the energy patch. It has a pretty good dividend yield. The management team is very good. They lay out objectives and generally meet them. It may not go up for the next little while but he does not think energy will disappear.

COMMENT

All energy stocks totally bombed out. If the 4-year cycle reset takes hold, the stock has bottomed and begun to retrace. This stock is not his preference, but if you're going to buy, this is the time to buy.

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TOP PICK

The dividend is safe. They have a strong balance sheet. They are still making lots of cash flow. The payout ratio is pretty low. (Analysts’ price target is $10.79)

HOLD

Is the dividend safe? The dividend will depend on the oil price. He assumes $60 WTI and $20 heavy differentials and $10 light oil differential. WCP-T would have a 95% payout ratio based on these assumptions. It would trade at 4 times cash flow.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He owns a lot less of all oil companies than a couple of years ago. It is a tough business because you can't support your revenue line. They are good stewards of capital. Under the right circumstances, this would be a stock to buy. You have to be patient with it. The discount in crude will narrow back to its long term average. He does not see Line 5 in Michigan being shut down, as the democrat rep there has promised.

WAIT

They are more exposed to Canadian light differential. It is a good name but he struggles with what is the buy thesis. He thinks there are better opportunities.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 02/18, Down 34%) This is a light oil company. She is still buying at these levels. She thinks dividend is safe. She thinks it will improve when light oil differentials improve over the next few quarters.

HOLD

One of the top Canadian oil producers. It's a victim of a whole sector that investors haven't been interested in. There's potential for a rebound trade in this entire group, and if so, then WCP is definitely one to hold. Wait and see in the next six months and hopefully you will get a pop. Otherwise look at Cardinal Energy.

BUY

This is a name that is well held institutionally and in the retail market. There may be some acquisition overhang that will ultimately be beneficial. Management will do small acquisitions, but the big deals are likely done he thinks. This company has an attractive payout ratio (near 80%) and so the dividend should be sustainable. It has been a core holding of theirs for years.

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