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TSE:WPM
How much credence do you place on relative performance between the stock and the underlying commodity versus the stock and the market in general? He looks at a stock relative to the underlying ETF (in this case SIL) and if it is outperforming, you want to be in the stock. Next you look at how SIL is doing relative to the price of silver itself. For this stock, it has gone above its 20 day moving average, established a short-term trend and started to outperform the TSE composite.
What we have seen happen is that there is a timing problem in that some sales were put off until the next quarter. Their dividend is tied to cash flow. The dividend was a bit lower in the last quarter. It should sell at a discount to the other precious metals. He would hold it at the right price, say 15% lower.
Is as close as you are going to get to playing off a pure silver trade. He gets nervous when this one gets some big down days. In an aggressive portfolio he would not be afraid to take a position and hold it into the new year. The silver trade should technically be over, but this one looks like it will really move into the March area.
Cutting the dividend today. You have to bullion silver and gold since governments will choose to monetize debt. If Bernanke does not hage another term, then who replaces him, but otherwise up and onward for precious metals. Thinks it could break out here. If it breaks below the short term lows then take some cash off the table.
Not big on silver. Tends to follow gold, but is more volatile. Doesn’t understand why silver is above $20. The major industrial use of silver in the last century was photography and that has completely evaporated. There is a big supply of silver right now.