50% off Premium Yearly
SPDR HOMEBUILDERS ETFXHBTOP PICKMay 05, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
How to Play the Housing Market in the US. US housing has already come back. He is not sure there is a whole lot more upside. XHB-N has the home builders and this is the best way to play that market. It also has other companies that benefit from new home sales. It does not have the lumber companies, however.
(A Top Pick May 5/15. Down 6.83%.) (Short.) Covered his Short before the end of the seasonal period. He had a marginal loss with this trade. US housing starts tend to be very strong from October 28 to Feb 3, and tends to be relatively flat the rest of the year. He was trying to take advantage of that negative time. We have now seen housing starts being very strong, which has helped drive this particular security up. That is a positive signal that the next seasonal trade coming up in October has more of a tendency to work.
(Short) Homebuilders tends to really fall off in March or April and drop down into the summertime. From 1990 to 2014 from April 27 into June 19 this sector tends to be positive only 29% of the time and produces an average of 4% loss. It is underperforming the S&P 500 at this time, and there is still some legs on this trade.