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Stockchase Opinions

Bill CarriganBMO NASDAQ 100 HEDGED TO CAD INDEX ETFZQQ.TOPAST TOP PICKJun 17, 2011

(A Top Pick July 16/10. Up 20.7%.) NASDAQ 100 Equity Hedged-Cdn. Still likes. Believes it works higher.
$17.06

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$200.51

As of Jun 12, 2026. Market Open.

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TRADE

A lot of the tech stocks are approaching their price targets, so what's an investor to do? He always recommends writing some calls, actively managing them. You can do this on ETFs over the counter.

Runway for SOXX is probably longer than that of the ZQQ.

TOP PICK

AI is going to be as transformative as the internet. The Magnificent 7 are for real and must be owned, though some are more pricey. When you buy this basket, you get a nice mix and it's just easier. Likes that it's hedged, so you can invest as if you were an American. Likes the tech along with the healthcare names.

PARTIAL BUY

62% tech, with the rest being in consumer discretionary, healthcare, etc. Trading about 30x PE, 4.7x price to sales, which is above the 10-year average of 26x PE and 3.8x price to sales. Elevated valuation. He'd prefer the general NASDAQ index over just the tech index. Cost is 39 bps, a portion in your portfolio could make sense.

WATCH

Prominent names. Be careful of the valuations of NASDAQ, as the average PE is 38x on this ETF, average price to sales is 4.3x. Makes sense as part of a portfolio, but watch the valuation.

BUY
ZQQ vs. HTA

He'd be more cautious of HTA, because if he's going to take the risk of tech, he wants to have the full growth potential of that and not be somewhat coralled by covered calls. On tech, he'd be doing ZQQ.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 19/22, Up 25%)

A tactical play, not a core position. Dragged up by all the AI stuff. FAANG has been renamed "The Magnificent Seven".

TOP PICK

The FAANGs have room to go. Valuations of Google, Amazon, Meta and MSFT are still compelling. AI is a tailwind. Other holdings include innovative healthcare. One to buy and leave along for a while.

SELL

Believes it is time to sell this stock.
Correction on the way with tech.
Tech stocks over valued.
Waiting for weakness before buying.

PARTIAL SELL
ZQQ vs. SOXX

Both have had very good runs. He'd take a third off the table. If it goes up, you still have two thirds. If it goes down, pat yourself on the back for being so smart. Then you can figure out if the trend is there to go lower. For both he'd trim a bit, and either way you'll feel good about yourself. :)

DON'T BUY

A good idea a year ago, as the CAD was stronger. A year ago, CAD was $1.27, but now it's at $1.36. CAD is going to work its way back up, and the USD down, though CAD probably won't go beyond $1.38. If you're going to add, just add to the straight QQQ.

COMMENT
It is down about 30% and market cap weighted so a few stocks can prevail over the rest the holdings. An alternative is QQEQ.F which equal weights the 100 stocks in the NASDAQ and therefore gives broader exposure. It is down 20%.
DON'T BUY
ZQQ vs. XSP He's underweight tech and communications and high-growth stocks. If you look at the NASDAQ 100, it's down 31% from last November highs. Still kind of expensive at 3.7x price to sales, a bit of a premium to 10-year average of 3.5x. Just because it's come down in price, doesn't necessarily make it cheap. He'd prefer the XSP, as it's more diversified, though it still has 34-35% in tech and communications. He's been noticing the equal weight index outperforming, but tech and communications are still not improving.
DON'T BUY
Highly into the tech side. Hedging means it didn't benefit you as the USD went up, but may benefit you if the CAD starts to rise, but he's not certain. NASDAQ down about 31%. He prefers to stay with the big tech names. Trading at 3.7x price to sales, still a slight premium to 10-year average.
TRADE
Sell ARKK and add to ZQQ? Good idea. ZQQ is a broader universe. ARKK is more of an innovator-type fund, lots more risk. Whole semi side is very difficult. Oversupply and under-demand, and so the price of memory chips is coming down. He'd recommend trading the ZQQ. He definitely wouldn't go into the ZQQ as an investment.
WAIT
ZQQ vs. SOXX He doesn't pick ETFs. Mixed messages out of semiconductor industry. Demand issues. Cyclical industry. Trend for semis is degrading, not accelerating. Buying now is a risk. Wait for the semi market to bottom, perhaps in Q4.