A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
Sectors with upside. Healthcare, healthcare technology, and technology. Financials will do well, not because of the yield curve, but because of their ability to increase dividends and buy back shares. In investing, volatility has to be your friend, though it's scary. Opportunity to buy great companies at good valuations. Step away from all the noise, look at the companies you own, and if you like them see if you want to add to them.
COMMENT
EV industry and China. Rules were relaxed for Chinese firms to list on the NYSE. Now the rules are changing, and China is reluctant to comply, since personal data and technology are accessible. Hard to compete with TSLA, as it's a beautifully designed computer on the road, and the company has already collected lots of driver data. The traditional car companies are in disarray as they try to mix combustion engines with EV. The valuation is another matter, but TSLA is the one you want to own.
COMMENT
Deploying cash when retired. You have to allocate your assets and take on some risk. Ask yourself how much money do you need to live your life? Put that in a bond, bond index, or GIC. Put the rest in dividend-paying stocks like banks and utilities or a dividend ETF that lets you grow your wealth and generate an income, without taking excessive risk in your portfolio. You draw on the fixed income portion because, as a general rule, it's not as volatile. You could even put it into GICs maturing over various periods of time. Don't use the equity portion as a bank account. If you're in your 70s, people can expect to live a lot longer and need income for that time.
COMMENT
Stocks are rallying for the second straight day. Have we bottomed? Maybe near-bottom, not bottomed. Volumes were slightly lower yesterday and that's a little concerning. He wants to see high volume on those days. That's why he's not convinced we've bottomed, but the market is interesting now.
COMMENT
Stocks are rallying for the second straight day. Have we bottomed? Not sure, but this is a good time to buy. He's been buying. It takes time. Look past the negative news. We have jobs and a strong economy.
COMMENT
Stocks are rallying for the second straight day. Have we bottomed? Looking out 12 months if you buy today, you will see a higher market. The question is how do you deal with the current hyper-volatility and malaise?
COMMENT
Stocks are rallying for the second straight day. Have we bottomed? She wants to say the bottom is in, but doesn't see it...yet. Valuations are better and fine, but not compelling like March 2020 when she was buying at 2,700 on the S&P. Today, it's at 4,300. The market is still expensive. It could go down more. She doesn't see technology and growth stocks being the place to be, going forward, until inflation is under control.
COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Hard to say if the markets have capitulated. The VIX has not spiked as in other times of crisis. Much of the uncertainty is gone with Fed rate hikes, corporate earnings being positive and inflation seeing a possible slow down. The war is the only uncertainty. Sentiment was exceptionally negative, now you can spend some money that was on the sidelines. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT

Higher food and energy costs will erode growth and reduce consumer spending power. North American consumers can weather this better; our economies and jobs situations are currently good though. Europe is more vulnerable, given they rely on Russian energy. However, there will still be economic growth and she doesn't see a recession. We need to see how long this war goes. The jobs picture here is very strong. Hold quality and growth stocks, balanced and diverse, so you enjoy dividend increases to buffer rising interest rates. Look for strong balance sheets and pricing power.

COMMENT

Portfolio construction: has cash to invest There's no rush to jump into the market now. Identify income and growth stocks. Be prudent with your entry point, and start with a partial position. Add in tranches.

COMMENT
Educational Segment. Looking at the Fed rate hike cycles, markets are typically higher following rate hikes and so there is generally less to worry about. In the 70s, there was stagflation. Doesn't think there will be a repeat of the 70s, but he is worried about the Fed's ability to correct the supply-demand inbalance. The best of globalization is probably in the rearview mirror now.
BUY
Gold and silver. Likes silver more than gold. Being caught up in all the noise right now. Silver has a lot of uses in greening the world. Lightened up significantly on the recent rise. Will buy back in a pullback.
COMMENT
Inflation. Inflation has been made worse by the war. The Feds have a real challenge to bring down inflation. When oil comes down, you get some relief from inflation. The Feds do not have the tools to fight the supply side issues. Typically, if the market is caught off guard to rates, then it could suffer. However, usually after a year, markets are usually almost higher.
COMMENT
Oil. Sold all exposure to energy sector in the rally. Oil should stay elevated, but this spike from the Russia-Ukraine war is temporary. When oil settles, it should be around $70-$80. Russia will sell oil at a discount. The world will adjust to supply-demand challenges.
COMMENT
Focus on quality companies. Quality means financial leverage, profitability and consistency of profitability. Use accounting measures of credit quality, etc. Look for companies that are good in times of rising interest rates and tightening financial conditions. Avoid companies with lots of debt because of higher interest rates and higher funding costs. More economic volatility can slow the market before it accelerates.
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