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SCR had disclosed in the summer that a special distribution of $10.00 per share if its takeover bid for MEG fails. The takeover bid for MEG was terminated by SCR in October. A meeting of shareholders is scheduled for November 27, 2025 to approve the plan of arrangement and special distribution. Its balance sheet is fairly strong, with an equity position of $6.6B, almost no net debt, cash of $1.3B, and a total debt/equity ratio of 0.2X. There are some concerns that its asset quality is not as strong as some peers, with general thoughts that MEG's Christina Lake SAGD asset could be higher quality than SCR's assets. Approval of the distribution seems likely given that the primary owner (WEF) intends to vote in favour of the plan. All else equal, the share price is likely to drop by approximately the same amount of the distribution, post-payment. We would be cautious around trying to time the market by selling between record date and payment date, as a lot of volatility can take place. We would be comfortable continuing to hold the name given its decent momentum recently, even if there is a post-distribution decline equal to roughly that of the distribution.
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Analysts expect EPS of $0.013 and sales of $34.48M. The earnings date has not been confirmed yet, but early estimates call for sometime in the next few weeks. We expect decent numbers on the sales front. Its earnings can be lumpy based on timing of contracts and execution, but we think that guidance will be strong.
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URI is in a bit of a drawdown like the rest of the market after hitting all-time highs in October. Nothing has really changed here and we would not be concerned witht he company. It is well run, has been through numeroud types of markets, increases the dividend, repurchases shares, and has a bit of a moat due to the size and scale of the business that is hard to catch up to. Recent earnings were fine with revenues ahead of estimates. EPS was a bit short of estimates but nothing particularly concerning. The company will have exposure to any broad economic slowdown but the valuation helps account for some of this and they have some support from the current AI infrastructure buildout in the shorter-term as well. 
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SCR had disclosed in the summer that a special distribution of $10.00 per share if its takeover bid for MEG fails. The takeover bid for MEG was terminated by SCR in October. A meeting of shareholders is scheduled for November 27, 2025 to approve the plan of arrangement and special distribution. Its balance sheet is fairly strong, with an equity position of $6.6B, almost no net debt, cash of $1.3B, and a total debt/equity ratio of 0.2X. There are some concerns that its asset quality is not as strong as some peers, with general thoughts that MEG's Christina Lake SAGD asset could be higher quality than SCR's assets. Approval of the distribution seems likely given that the primary owner (WEF) intends to vote in favour of the plan. All else equal, the share price is likely to drop by approximately the same amount of the distribution, post-payment. We would be cautious around trying to time the market by selling between record date and payment date, as a lot of volatility can take place. We would be comfortable continuing to hold the name given its decent momentum recently, even if there is a post-distribution decline equal to roughly that of the distribution.
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Analysts expect EPS of $0.013 and sales of $34.48M. The earnings date has not been confirmed yet, but early estimates call for sometime in the next few weeks. We expect decent numbers on the sales front. Its earnings can be lumpy based on timing of contracts and execution, but we think that guidance will be strong.
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URI is in a bit of a drawdown like the rest of the market after hitting all-time highs in October. Nothing has really changed here and we would not be concerned witht he company. It is well run, has been through numeroud types of markets, increases the dividend, repurchases shares, and has a bit of a moat due to the size and scale of the business that is hard to catch up to. Recent earnings were fine with revenues ahead of estimates. EPS was a bit short of estimates but nothing particularly concerning. The company will have exposure to any broad economic slowdown but the valuation helps account for some of this and they have some support from the current AI infrastructure buildout in the shorter-term as well. 
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Leverage and credit expansion

Leverage is often blamed for the 1987 stock market crash, about 38 years ago. Rising use of borrowed money, such as margin debt in equities or high loan-to-value ratios in real estate, amplifies gains during bull phases and magnifies losses afterward. Easy credit or relaxed lending standards frequently accompany bubbles. Currently, there is a lot of concern about margin debt. According to the U.S. Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), margin debt is at about US$1.1 trillion. Sure, it is a big number, and is at a record. It represents two per cent of total S&P 500 market value, and is up 35 per cent in the past year. But again, it may not be as bad as it sounds. The S&P 500 is up about 15 per cent in the past year so some margin expansion is expected. Lower interest rates also help investors manage their debt exposure. And, two per cent of the S&P 500 does not sound like a lot, considering expected earnings growth forecasts in the 10 per cent or more range for next year. Still, margin debt is certainly something to watch, and may be a sign of future troubles.
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