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NASDAQ:AMZN
Amazing company to watch to see how it went from selling books to basically everything and eventually run everything given the way it goes. As long as the investors agree with management to look at growth as opposed to short-term earnings and cash flow then they will continue to execute their strategy and disrupt areas. He thinks that a risk is if they fail in one or two areas they enter. That would be the time to take a second look.
This is the iconic company of the 21st century. You can't have a discussion about retail without talking about Amazon. However, the debate inside his company is whether this great company is a great stock. It is hard to measure its profitability now and in its future, and therefore hard to determine whether its price is high or low. They don't make a profit, they may never pay dividends or buy back shares. Normally, shareholders buy a stock to gain a piece of the company's profits, which come back to the shareholder in some way. Amazon operates outside of this model. The jury is out, for him, as to whether this is a good stock or not.
Has a magnificent valuation, over 22 times book value, with a PE of 104. This is practically a dead giveaway on the street. $1500 would be a sell signal but it could have an upside of $1900. It has had some spectacular wipeouts along the way since inception. The stock comes back quite quickly and then it drives on. At some point it will wipe out but it is destroying the retail industry right now. He thinks the growth will continue right now.
This is his largest position in the portfolio. His target price is $1875 over the next 12 months. This is the poster child for consumer services. They had great Q1 earnings including cloud applications. Amazon web-services owns 70-75% of the cloud services sector he estimates, which acts as a great cash cow.
The hype around this company is disconcerting. He wonders if they will be able to execute on what they promise. At these valuations, it is not something he would recommend to clients. A company this big will have a very difficult time doubling in value. Market cap is $780 billion – bigger than the Swedish GDP.
This is for growth-oriented investors that look into the future. The company is still rolling up industry after industry after industry. Now the largest company in the world by market cap. Jeff Bezos is young. He thinks that he will drive the company to highs that we are yet to see. They are competing in the computer space.