
NYSE:BAC
It has a discounted valuation, in his opinion, despite a rising dividend and excellent capitalization. He thinks the US banking sector is the strongest in this space and this is the most focused in US business of any of the biggest banks. They will be impacted by the flattening of the yield curve, as near term rates have risen. He would stay away until there is more certainty on trade war issues and watch the trend in the yield curve.
Worth buying a few hundred September calls? He likes this bank. They passed their stress test. He needs to see movement on the 10-year rates. If there's no bump, then BAC will have a hard time moving up--a serious headwind. The 10-year should be higher now. If we get an inverted yield curve, that leads to a recession within a year.
This stock needs to be evaluated in the broader outlook of the macro market drivers. He thinks this is one of the better national banks, because of the balance between retail and merchant banking. Goldman Sachs lacks the retail side, so their earnings are lumpy, for example. He expects a dividend increase. He has stayed away in general, favoring to cherry pick the regional banks in niche markets.
Money is being reallocated out of the financials after the run a year ago. This is because of the flattening yield curve. After the trade war threats blow over it will help equity markets, you will see growing dividends out of BAC-N and the stock will break $30. This is a nice holding for the next 10 years.
Over the long term it is a great company. The entire group of larger cap banks in the US are very well positioned. They are as well capitalized as they have ever been. They are benefiting from a strong US economy and housing market. Loan losses have been very modest as housing prices continue to rise. They trade at a pretty low PE multiple. He thinks they will continue to do well.