
NYSE:BAC
Bank of America or Wells Fargo? Both are well-diversified and have interest rate sensitivity. BAC has better capital markets exposure, which he likes. Wells Fargo is in the doghouse with leadership, namely with regulatory problems. This hamstrings WF management. This is a big knock against them. Definitely prefers BAC.
He likes the interest rate spreads and recommended it when Trump came to office. This quarter he expects a big dividend increase. They are only paying out about 20% of earnings. They have a very conservative balance sheet he believes. The political trend is moving towards helping banks get bigger. Yield 1.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $34.46 )
They will raise their dividend from around 1.5% to 2% in a year, as the payour ratio nearly doubles to 30%, and they'll buy back their shares. They have lots of capital. Headwinds in the past decade in the U.S. have turned into tailwinds. The U.S. economy is growing strongly. BAC will trade at a couple times book value. (Analysts’ target: $34.46)
This is his favorite U.S. bank. They’ve cut costs well, are a big benefactor of US tax cuts and are big in consumer banking and commercial. The US financial sector as a whole is well-positioned. BAC issued a large number of shares in 2009 during the financial crisis and are finally in a position to be buying them back. The stock sells at 1.2x book value while competitors sell for 1.8 or 1.9x.
JP Morgan (JPM-N) vs Bank of America (BAC-N) – He holds both of these companies. JP Morgan (JPM-N) is a preferred holding for him as its earnings are less volatile of the two. Bank of America (BAC-N) is second on his list, which carries a large amount of “free balances” (client deposits they pay no interest on), which is very interest rate sensitive.
BAC vs. Wells Fargo? He's long the U.S. banks more than Canadian ones, given better economic growth down there. BAC is at the top of the U.S. banks for earnings growth. Prefers BAC over Wells. Once Wells overcomes the recent customer service controversy, it'll take time for the bank to recover.