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NYSE:BAC
Prefers this over other US banks because in a relative sense, of the large multinationals, this has the largest exposure to a housing recovery. To be fair, there is probably a write-off coming so it is currently right around tangible Book. Even still, that makes it roughly half of a Canadian bank on a price to book ratio basis.
They won’t be able to increase dividend in the next little while. But their numbers look better than other larger banks in the US. He took his weighting down and is moving money from US to Canadian banks. He is comfortable with the valuations in this one, however. Cheap compared to book value and loan growth is picking up.
Given the pullback in the housing in June for the US and the relatively high unemployment, are US financials overvalued? Not sure we should put full faith in one month’s numbers. A lot of the shortfall came off multi-residential housing, not single residential. Banks in general are doing well on the banks of cost-cutting right now. That is fine, but it is finite. They have to get their loan growth up which means there has to be an economy that is strong enough that wants the loan and the banks have to want to lend. In both cases, there is some reluctance. Also, yield curve has to normalize so it actually pays to borrow Short and lend Long.
Thinks the US banking system is coming back into favour. Most of the big banks were trading below BV at the start of 2013. Some still are but they are gradually recovering. This one is not his favourite. He prefers Goldman Sachs (GS-N) and J.P. Morgan (JPM-N). But this is not a bad bet and could easily find itself up another 10% or so a year from now.
A relatively cheap American bank. He likes US banks right now as he feels there is opportunity for long-term growth. As the housing market and small medium industry loans recover and, most importantly, as the interest rates normalize. This wouldn’t be his 1st choice. He prefers the higher quality such as J.P. Morgan (JPM-N), Northern Trust (NTRS-Q) and Morgan Stanley (MS-N).(See Top Picks.)