Stockchase Opinions

John McCollBallard Power SystemsBLDP.TOWEAK BUYSep 25, 2002

Owns a little bit, just in case it takes off. Very speculative.
$16.64

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$6.85

As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.

misc industrial products
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DON'T BUY

They make fuel cells for large vehicles. It has traded sideways for most of its history. There are two major questions regarding hydrogen: where does it come from and how do you transport it since it has to be highly compressed.

RISKY

Highly speculative. He owns a tiny position. Society won't power EVs purely on batteries and will require a bridge that Ballard could benefit from. They represent value. A long-term hold for him.

HOLD

Long term hydrogen will be in demand.
Short term - business prospects unsure.
Company will need to generate profits to earn investment grade status.
Unsure on future of business. 

DON'T BUY

No profits, no dividends and losses forever. Has it ever made money?

DON'T BUY

Dream stock for 20 years (performance not materialized).
Hydrogen not gaining enough market share.
Would not recommend buying shares.
Does not earn enough profit.

DON'T BUY
Good opportunity with China opening up? China is the source of its largest orders. There's been a lag. Not too involved in China's EV trade. Longer term, hydrogen is more of a 10-year story, not a China reopening story. Can this technology be commercialized, and does BLDP have enough tech leadership to make it unique as everyone scrambles for a piece of the pie? Lots of challenges. High on speculation, so it depends on your timeline and risk tolerance.
WATCH
Spike in the chart was a result of pandemic enthusiasm, ARKK investing, brighter future. Concerned it's going to sit in a trading range over the next 2 years, dead money. If it trends lower, move out of the position and put your money to work in something that's working.
RISKY
Good contract with Siemens. The ball seems to be going toward electric, not hydrogen. If you can afford to take the risk, buy it. Could be a big winner, but be prepared to take substantial losses. Risk/reward is even.
DON'T BUY
Company has not been able to delivery technology to general public (fuel cells). Technology getting closer to mass production. Patents are being lost to competitors. Better investments out there. Risky investment that is speculative.
Unspecified
Its revenue is 100 million which is not large. Still waiting for it to really commercialize. It raised a lot of money at much higher prices so it has good reserves of cash. The fuel cell industry is still developing and the question is can it compete against the electric vehicle system.
WATCH
He used to own it to get exposure to fuel cells, but the market doesn't like high-PE names like this now. Also, their joint venture in China is delayed by supply chains and Covid. It's a leader in fuel cells using great technology, though. A higher-risk name, but it's in his bullpen so he can decide when to buy it back.
HOLD
Has been a hold for 20 years. Was the stock to own in the late 90s. Hydrogen fuel cells technology have come a long way but the trend is down. Still want to be present as there will be rallies down the road. More of a trading stock.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 09/21, Down 27.84%) Stock has disappointed in the past year, but he sees it as a 5-10 year position. EV targets are aggressive but ultimately will be met. He's been adding to weakness and still believes in it.
COMMENT
You get run ups and then disappointment. Probably investable but he is not sure if it will be a player in the future. This was the same case 20 years ago. It sounded imminent 20 years ago and this has not yet panned out.
SHORT
Seems to have infinite lives. Knows how to secure funds but not how to make money. Scores bottom of the pack for momentum, value and volatility. Will continue to raise money but will probably not make money.