50% off Premium Yearly

TSE:CNR
CN vs. CP It's surging today. Rails are good--they are the economy. CN is more of a commodity shipper and commodities are in demand. Both CN and CP will be hit by the weak grain harvest from lack of rain. He hopes CN wins the battle for KSU. (Didn't comment much on CP.) There is integration risk in buying KSU and they will need to borrow money to close the deal, but this is a short-term problem and it's worth building a network to Mexico.
CP today increased their offer to buy Kansas City Southern He owns none of the rails here, but owns FedEx and has long liked it and its management. This battle will go on for a while. Even if CP wins, it'll likely be a year before the deal closes, and CP will be worth $90 billion, on par with rival bidder CN. CN will still have bigger revenues than CP, while CP will carry more debt if CP wins the battle. So, CP would win the battle, but lose the war. It'll be interesting to see how much synergy CP can generate if CP wins. The short-term winner will be KCS shareholders.
CN vs. CP Easy. Go with CN. Latest news is a letter saying that the merger with KSU is not in the public interest. If the merger happens, it will be accretive long-term. If not, CN remains attractive, trading at 18x 2023 earnings while growing at 11%. At times, he's a CP guy, but here he'd pick CNR. [Note: some audio problems]
CP vs. CNR Owns CNR. Numbers positive over the last little while, but the KSU acquisition may hamper them going into next year, with the stock moving sideways. Rail industry is great: limited competition, hard to duplicate, good pricing power, sweet spot of transportation. KSU acquisition will enhance their business. Forest fires are affecting the backlog, but this is short term.