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Costco Wholesale CorporationCOSTWEAK BUYAug 09, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
A leader. Dominant position in US. Buy on any day "that ends in 'y'". Always seems expensive if you look at the high 30s PE ratio. Chart looks stretched. Look for a pullback, perhaps when December seasonality subsides early in the new year. Membership rate increases every couple of years creates earnings power, as there are few good substitutes.
About as good as it gets on long-term buy and hold.
Up 44% this year, 4.5% today. Nobody does it better than them in retail. Last night they reported an amazing quarter: 7% increase in cardholders, member fee income up 8.2%, enjoying lower freight costs and will pay a special one-time dividend to shareholders. Plus, they're controlling shoplifting. One to own forever.
Leans towards AMZN, based on it having retail but also AWS. AI investments should help both AWS and retail customers. More compound potential because of different business streams.
COST has been well developed, but not sure how much more juice there is.
Terrific business. He's also been watching and waiting. Always trades at a high multiple, around 30x earnings. Unique business model with memberships, not a traditional retailer. Strong recently, because it's one of the few ways for consumers to save money. Stock weakness might occur if interest rates ease.
A struggle to choose. He owns WMT. You get more defensiveness with the lower prices, as well as online exposure where WMT has made significant investments.
COST has always had an expensive valuation, and always will. Selloffs are traditionally a good time to buy. Great assets and business model. There are a lot worse things to own than this one.