
NYSE:CVS
(A Top Pick Nov 21/19, Down 9%) He has exited this stock a while ago. Amazon entering the pharma space is negative for CVS. The split congress is a relief for the healthcare space. The pull back is probably exaggerated. A holistic company and a value trade. 3% dividend. Prefers to look elsewhere for more growth.
Struggling with high debt load. Healthcare space and insurance going into the US election, plus Supreme Court nomination, are creating uncertainty. Big boom in telehealth, and this bites into the local CVS option. It's going to be a very competitive business. Challenged. He'd go with UnitedHealth instead.
Regulations in the U.S. may affect distribution They recently bought health insurer Aetna. A cheap stock trading at 9x forward earnings. Not sure why the price has come off in the past month, maybe a rotation into momentum. The PBM business (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pharmacy_benefit_management) always has an overhang with the US government wanting to lower prices. These worries are absorbed into the CVS stock price. Also, CVS has had to pay more for PPE and labour wages, but these costs should abate in time. The current price reflects all these overhangs.
WBA He has owned CVS instead in the past. This and WBA have been hit hard in recent years from a lingering concern over pressure on drug prices in the U.S. So, both have expanded into drug distribution, not just drug retail. The multiple that the market will pay for either has compressed. So, he prefers other stocks in this space, like Loblaws (which owns Shoppers Drug Mart) Drug. Traditionally, drug retailing is a stable business, but in the U.S. the pricing issue remains an overhang.
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CVS, the 2nd largest pharmacy in the US, recently came under pressure with the announcement of Amazon stepping into the pharmacy space. However, now trading at 11x earnings, CVS is good value here -- especially after announcing they are hiring 15,000 staff in Q4 to likely become a mass vaccine distributor. Recent earnings of $1.66 per share beat expectations of $1.34. Management raised guidance of annual 2020 earnings to $7.35-$7.42 per share, above analyst calls for $7.23. It pays a great dividend, backed by a 33% payout ratio. We would buy this with a stop-loss at $57, looking to achieve over $82 -- over 21% potential. Yield 2.96% (Analysts’ price target is $82.43)