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NYSE:DIS
He's ready to return to this. It's one of the great long-term growth stocks, and it's been punished enough. The only thing investors are looking at is their streaming business. A family would keep Disney+, if they had to cut. They have the content and no one cross-sells better than them. Have done very well with Marvel assets. They also have ESPN. The valuation has fallen a lot. Everyone hates Disney now, but buy it now and you will be pleased down the road.
Many dumped shares after its May quarter, plunging below DF's $96.50 stop in very heavy volumes. Since then, DIS has been stuck in a sideways patterns with an $85 floor. Even after last week's positive conference call, DIS remains below its 200-day moving average. Last week after earnings, DIS jumped 5% at triple normal volumes, but DF believes the stock is still building its base above $85, so it's too early to buy this one. However, DF does see some signs of institutional buying. DF expects this to remain sideways until its next report in November, and could break out. Cramer disagrees--buy DIS now, not in November. It's one of his favourite stocks.
He's blown this one. They don't the cash flow to pull off what they want to do now, and they don't have the blockbusters. Only the theme parks are humming. That said, he is long on Disney. This quarter and maybe the next won't be that good. CEO Iger can still turn it around.
Credit Suisse today cut the price target to $126, which means 40% upside. Their media business is worth $60 billion vs. Netflix's $210 billion, a massive valuation gap. Disney is like New York City. Both can be down at times, but you're foolish to bet against them. They can get past this rough patch by creating great content while people will flock to their amusement parks. It could take 3-4 years before Disney returns to previous levels, so be patient. Yes, the actors and strikes are concerns, but are short-term.