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NASDAQ:DLTR

Dollar Tree (DLTR)

111.63
-0.02 (0.02%)
as of Jun 18, 2026, 7:59:59 pm Market Open.
115 watching
0
DON'T BUY

DOL vs Dollar Tree vs. Dollar General He likes Dollar General for its location and execution. Doesn't like Dollar Tree because their locations are in urban centres where there's too much competition. He prefers Dollarama over Dollar General, but likes DOL, but many DOL stores are inside malls, which is a problem now (malls are closed). He prefers DOL to Dollar Tree because they execute better; and Dollar General over Dollar Tree.

TOP PICK

They are more insulated from online competition like Amazon. They have addressed some short term issues and it is well positioned regardless of the economic environment. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $88.05)

DON'T BUY

DLTR vs. DG DLTR is in urban areas, with lots of competitors. Dollar General is in low population areas. A bit cheaper than Dollar General, but you have to look at the growth rate. Growth rate is in mid-single digits, but Dollar General is in low double digits. If you look at the PEG ratio, Dollar General is still cheaper. Dollarama is also an option. (Analysts’ price target is $101.00)

TOP PICK

101.36 The largest US dollar store. This pulled back in the last quarter of 2019; margins depressed due to tariffs and transportation costs, but these will pass. They bought Family Dollar a few years ago and had trouble intregrating it, but that's behind them them. They're introducing refrigerated foods now, and various price points which may increase sales. This now trades at a discount to peers, including Dollarama. She's continuing to buy it. Pays no dividend; a growth stock.

TOP PICK
An acquisition was a little bumpy at first, but results should be improving. They have been impacted by China-US tariff issues as it impacts much of their product line. An attractive point of entry right now. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $103.72)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 19/18, Up 25%) He sold it unfortunately. He bought it because DLTR bought Dollar Tree, and they had a lot of serious issues with it, like poor supply chain management. After, they delivered some poor quarters. It appears things are better now.
TOP PICK
A story that will take a while to develop. They want to stick to the $1 price point, and this must be difficult. So they're testing other price points. Will be positive for revenues and margins. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $110.92)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 07/18, Up 22%) Sold it. Complicated story. Dollar Tree sells things for a dollar. They bought a company called Family Dollar that sells things up to $10. Very difficult acquisition. Very volatile earnings numbers in the last little while. Selling was probably a wrong decision. Great, well run business, its just that they took on an acquisition which is taking a lot more time to execute.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 26/18, Up 6%) The Dollar Tree business does very well, but Family Dollar doesn't. There was good same-store sales growth at first, but things fell apart. This acqusition hasn't gone well and recently an activist investor has bought stock and is trying to change the company. Dollar Tree took on too much. He sold his shares.
COMMENT
He thinks that the dollar mass merchants will do OK. He prefers Dollar General as it is ore in the rural areas.
TOP PICK
The only dollar store that still fits the description. If they increased prices, they could meaningfully increase revenues and earnings. Management has resisted, but there's pressure to do this. This would add $2 per share to earnings. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $100.44)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 12/18, Down 6%) Sold it in Q3 because fuel costs were rising. They sell items for a dollar in stores. The issue is that they bought Family Dollar for $9 billion and those stores and staff were poor; DLTR has had trouble integrating them. FD is weighing down DLTR.
DON'T BUY
Dollar store names came to the forefront in the financial crisis. Americans shifted their budgets to an experience that was better than they expected. Wal-mart suffered from this. On a unit basis you are paying more for what you get from these stores. It is growing but okay and they are fixing parts of it. It is 20 times so a little rich. He is sitting this one out.
COMMENT

Loves this dollar-store space. It's defensive. When the economy declines, people will buy here. The stock has sold off after execution issues about an acquisition.

TOP PICK

Much cheaper than other dollar stores trading at 16 times earnings. No dividend. They bought Family Dollar and that didn’t go that well and affected the stock price. They continue to do well. Good growth profile. (Analysts’ price target is $102.31)

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