Franco-Nevada Corp.FNV.TOWEAK BUYSep 17, 2019Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Hasn't studied in depth, could be interested. Hears that management is the best. Likes companies that do something non-correlated with the rest of a portfolio. Hurt by stake in Panama mine. Low-risk way to get commodity exposure, but foreign assets increase that risk. Not a big fan of mining, but if he did want a royalty play, this would be a contender.
Biggest and best-of-breed in the category. Likes business model for its exposure to commodity price and upside optionality to more reserve and resource discovery. Insulates shareholders from operating and capital cost overruns endemic to mining. Well diversified by geography and operator. Bit of non-gold commodity exposure.
Timely right now. Price has pulled back a lot since the summer, because biggest royalty interest is in Panama, operated by FM. That mine accounts for about 22% of Franco's NAV, and market's shaved about 30% off shares, which gives a good margin of safety. Good entry opportunity. Believes arbitration will prevail in its favour, which is what happens historically. Yield is 1.2%.
The finest goldminer in the world. Are being penalized by the recent Panama decision which forced them to halt operations. That mine comprises 15% of NAV, and yet shares have sank 30%. This is an excellent buying opportunity. He bets the Panama decision will reverse; the mine amounts to 5% of Panama's GDP and over 25% of export earnings, and could eventually pay damages up to US$10 billion.
(Analysts’ price target is $148.32)Likes base metals more because of where we are in the cycle, but gold and gold stocks are sending signs that they want to break out. Testing the upper range. Gold stocks look to be putting in a multi-month low and set to run. FNV looks set to test $200, breaking above highs of 2020 would be really positive. Gold is one of his best ideas. Yield is 0.93%.
(Analysts’ price target is $221.62)If you're going to be in gold, a royalty company is the way to go. King Kong of the royalty firms. He's never been a gold bug. It doesn't always protect you from inflation. If the world is taking a nosedive, how will gold help you? He's not sure on timing. His experience investing in gold has always been uneven.