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TSE:GIL
For the last 5 years, the FMV has been sort of a fulcrum around which the stock has been trading. That fulcrum now is $36. The stock had a nice little run and is now backing off. He wouldn’t be surprised, given the history, that we are going to see further weakness. Wait for the $33-$34 area where you could get a good buying opportunity.
This has a huge presence in the screen printing business in the US and Canada. They did come out with conservative guidance over their last quarter, so the stock hasn’t performed very well. There is a little bit of uncertainty about what the retail sector looks like right now. He would look elsewhere.
(A Top Pick Feb 9/16. Up 9.1%.) He is constructive on this company because he thinks they are going to be able to construct their volumes over time. The stock price has come off because of concerns of border adjusted tariffs, and the impact it could have. However, they do have production in the US which mitigates some of that risk. A low-cost manufacturer. Still a Buy.
T-shirts, underwear, socks, sweatshirts. Low cost producers with operations globally. The US does not produce a lot of T-shirts, underwear or socks, and this company has a plant in Georgia that spins the yarn for socks. Trading at 14X earnings. Debt to cash flow is 1.3X. They have a great history of growing their dividends. There is a lot of negative sentiment in the stock. As a low-cost producer, they will be able to compete efficiently. Recently bought the name of American Apparel, not the manufacturing. Dividend yield of 1.24%. (Analysts’ price target is $42.11.)
Acquiring American Apparel. Gilden has been a really good operator, and it has been hard to get into a multinational company listed on the Canadian exchange. They’ve managed to have a good reputation in terms of not using slave labour, etc. and have great penetration in the marketplace. Whether this acquisition is going to work for them are not he is going to wait and see. He is going to watch and see what the news flow is, before he does anything.
This is a good time to buy this, especially on the recent pullback. A couple of years ago they were earning an 18% ROC, and then they made a big investment and there was a bit of lag in their cash flow. The Return dropped, but the street was pretty smart in seeing through that, but in his data, that gives him a little bit of a pause. The return went down to 6% but is now up to 13% and seems to be climbing back.
He is looking at this quite closely. It has underperformed recently, but they are very smart allocators of capital. Have great warehouses and a great infrastructure base. They are subject to commodity prices that they can’t control. Generating lots of free cash which they can use to expand their moat, distribution and infrastructure.
(A Top Pick January 20/17 Up 11%). Earlier in the year there were concerns the Trump Administration would institute a border adjusted import tax, but this seems to have faded away. They are a low cost producer and he continues to like it. Good company with a great balance sheet.