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NASDAQ:GILD
This has struggled. It is cheap, trading at about 9X earnings. There has been a resurgence of late, which is positive. The hep C franchise is just not showing tremendous growth, and there are not a lot of things in the pipeline. They have a fair bit of cash. He would prefer Celgene (CELG-Q) on a pullback or Vertex (VRTX-Q), which has had some innovative drugs on multiple sclerosis.
(A Top Pick Sept 6/16. Down 0.4%.) This was in a downtrend, but has finally broken into an uptrend. A cheap, cheap stock, trading at a single digit PE. The #1 provider of HIV drugs globally, and the #1 provider of hepatitis drugs. About 2-3 years ago, they introduced a revolutionary Hepatitis C drug which cured, so the inflow of patients dropped off. Pays about a 3% dividend. Cheap, cheap stock.
Growth rate has been completely decimated based on its business model. The stock really came down, but bounced up in the last couple of weeks with the rest of the biotech space. It is now stuck at around the 200-day moving average. Their growth rate has come down to the low single digits, and is still trading at a pretty decent multiple, 9X earnings. If you own, consider Selling and look at something like Celgene (CELG-Q).
A very important story. They had a Hep C drug that was so good it was curing everybody, so it is running out. Everybody underestimated how fast it was happening. This is trading at about 8X earnings. Has a great dividend yield and lots of cash and an incredible balance sheet. They have an HIV drug which is very strong and does well. Feels they have to do something with their cash and move in a different direction by making an acquisition. At this point, the stock is really giving the company zero value for their Hep C business. There is some good value in their pipeline. You aren’t paying a lot for the company right now with their free cash flow yield of almost 9%.
His opinion on this is quite good. It has been under pressure for a number of reasons. A lot of these companies have been under pressure for pricing. There has been some speculation that some of their drugs have a lot of competition. They have an HIV drug. This looks so cheap at this time. He shows a 33% Return on Invested Capital. They used to have a 60%, but a 33% is still very good. The valuation is almost too good to be true.
(A Top Pick June 23/16. Down 9.98%.) He still loves this one and has bought more at around $64. The FDA has just approved their drug for hepatitis C. His model price is $119.20, a 60% upside.