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Hudbay MineralsHBM.TODON'T BUYMar 02, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Prefers TECK.B. He's attracted to copper in the longer term. In the very near term, the commodity will be weighted by overall economic conditions. TECK.B is more a restructuring play than a copper play right now; well run, wide range of assets; world-class coal assets are undervalued; cashflow is more stable.
Cheap, with good upside potential. About 30% discount to book value. With EVs and the demand for alternate forms of power, electricity comes into its own. You need to have a way of moving it around, and that's copper. The copper market is a mess, with demand picking up and supply under pressure. Yield is 0.32%.
(Analysts’ price target is $10.22)Acquiring Copper Mountain, which has a very different risk profile and more leverage. HBM's future is predicated on previous acquisition in Arizona that's been mired in bureaucracy. He's always concerned when development NAV is a high percentage of overall value. Risk of execution becomes more acute. He prefers TECK.B or FM, which are at the stage of reaping rewards of free cashflow.
The big question is, where are we in the metals cycle. There has been a terrific bounce on oil. Are we going to see a bounce in the base metals? Companies like this have a very hard time producing ore at a profit at these prices. They basically can’t make any money until the commodity cycle turns a little. At the moment he is zero weighted metal.