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TSE:HMMJ

Horizon's Medical Marijuana (HMMJ.TO)

7.29
+0.03 (0.41%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 3:08:59 pm Market Open.
103 watching
0
BUY ON WEAKNESS
This has the potential for massive growth in 20 years considering the medical applications of cannabis, but this space also has massive volatility. Buy during large declines and tiptoe in. Society is in the process of accepting marijuana. This is a sea change now.
COMMENT
There is some downside pressure on HMMJ-T. At the $14 or $17 range there is resistance. Who knows what the effect would be if the government changes in October. [Caller asked about TLRY] He sees $34 as a target on TLRY-T as there is nothing to hold it higher.
WAIT
X-dividend date coming up. After the next economic downturn, this will be a sector to invest in and forget it for a decade. At this point he does not see it goes above the recent highs. Don't invest in it now. You might trade it.
COMMENT
This has attracted A LOT of interest, but inflows into cannabis have plateaud. There's lots of speculation and uncertainty, though it's an interesting space. Definitely, cannabis is not a core holding of his. It's typically to see extreme moves in this ETF and sector. This charges an 0.87% MER. Also consider the smaller SEED-T.
DON'T BUY
Exercise caution. Big move in the underlying companies, so you're always susceptible to a pullback. Shift focus more to the US, where you can get more reasonable valuations. US market is 10x what Canada's is. Money spirals in, and out, of these ETFs. Tough to justify valuations in Canada right now. It's a psychology trade.
COMMENT
He is not an expert in cannabis. There will be real industry going forward and some companies will prosper in the long term. The valuations still remain excessive. If he were to participate it would be with Canopy Growth as they have a connection with Constellation Brands in the US.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Cannabis. Momentum was stalling in September. There is a short term bounce but there will be choppiness in the short term. He would pick away at these names during this period. The longer term trend is up.
COMMENT

Short selling: He has not done much short selling in this space. He tends to be long. If he was going to do it, this would be the vehicle to do it with. There would not be any M&A risk.

RISKY

It is been a ridiculously volatile space. The whole sector is very expensive. Very early inning of the industry. This is a decent way to dip your toe in the sector. Volatile above and beyond what normal equity markets are.

DON'T BUY

It is a great play on the space. He noticed that in the last few months there has been a lack of new capital going into it so people must be trying to pick a winner. He cautions that the space is going to be very volatile over the next 6 months.

BUY

He is into macro trends and themes. So, this doesn’t fit his strategy. But he thinks it is a good ETF. It pays a dividend because it lends shares he thinks.

RISKY

Marijuana. The ETF gives you the basket of securities. When you go into an area that is new, you are never going to buy these stocks cheap. We had high momentum and now it seems to have broken down. You have to manage risk carefully. Have a stop loss.

DON'T BUY

Good time to get in? His firm uses only ETFs. This is an example of where ETFs are not the way to go on themes. All the enthusiasm about marijuana is already baked in, so could sell off once it’s legal. Canopy Growth is the Phillip Morris of marijuana. Why pay the premium of the ETF, just buy Canopy Growth.

DON'T BUY

Right now he does not want exposure. He does not like the risk of the sector. We need to see this commodity legitimized. HMMJ-T is a speculation, not an investment. After the next recession, companies with no earnings get obliterated.

COMMENT

Cannabis or cannabis tech ETF? The problem with cannabis stocks are valuations--only one of the holdings in HMMJ has positive earnings. He's anticipating a lot of growth, like tech in 2000. He doesn't know enough about the tech behind growing cannabis, but look at ROBO-T and other AI ETFs.

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