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Stockchase Opinions

Paul ThorntonLuLulemon AthleticaLLL.TOCOMMENTJun 25, 2010

Time Frame in Perspective. Chart shows strong upward trend in the last 52 weeks. Currently range bound since the correction started but it is trading closer to its high. Looking at this stock on a longer-term basis, it and many others like it are closing in on their old pre-bear market highs. It is normal for investors to sell stocks when they get back near their highs.
$42.52

Stock price when the opinion was issued

clothing stores
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BUY ON WEAKNESS

Great performance the past 5 years.
Does not own share because does not pay dividend.
Continues to beat and raise profit expectations.
Entrenched user base.
Growing throughout the world.
Share price expensive at the moment.

BUY
Best in class retailer that he's watching as it has pulled back. They just reported earnings which were healthy. Walmart and Target struggle with inventory while Gap has too much and are guiding down sales. LLL caters to middle/high-end consumers so there's no sales decline. Strong demand and growth outlook. A good long-term hold. He owns Nike instead.
BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. EPS beat estimates by $0.22 at $1.62. Revenues also beat estimates at $1.45B. They posted 30% yoy revenue increases. The company continues to generate positive free cash flow. A very positive quarter. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY
They have a great brand and e-commerce operation that will continue to thrive post-Covid. In contrast, traditional, general retailers like Macy's, may not survive.
BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. It raised guidance higher for sales. It is building for the future. Good track record of growth with very high sales growth. Looks good today and could buy at these prices. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Compared to global peers, it is marginally cheaper and it remained highly profitable in the downturn. Growth expectations remain solid. It is not cheap but the balance sheet is strong. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY
He saw this store grow up to an empire. He is embarrassed to say he has ever owned them. They have a strong competitive advantage. They can charge a premium. The stock is expensive but with their expected earnings growth it may not matter. He wears Lulu lemon pants to ride his electric bike to work. They make men's dress pants.
WATCH

GOOS-T vs. LULU-Q. He follows them. He would like to own LLL-T. GOOS-T has come off their all time highs about 50%. He either needs to see their earnings grow or their stock price drop. He is looking at it. Both are extremely well run companies with strong brands. They have excellent management teams and strong franchises. GOOS-T would be his preference from a valuation perspective.

BUY
They are getting things right. It went sideways for 6-7 years while revenues were growing. Margins remained resilient except for one year. They had the wrong assortment that year. They understand what's in inventory, on order and they have a best in class on-line sales and they have a strong directly owned store network. They reached a point where same store sales started to grow and earnings started to grow. They are just executing very well right now. Competitors have had limited success.
SELL

This is high end consumer merchandise. This always happens in the 2nd half of the business cycle so she thinks it will have headwinds for the next few years. The stock is down a lot, but she wouldn’t buy it here. If you own, Sell.

DON'T BUY

Valuation has always kept her away from this stock. A growth momentum name so has a very high multiple. Had some product quality issues, which had a negative impact on traffic. Still doesn’t think it is cheap.

TOP PICK

Short. Company had no numbers or anything positive on analyst day. Thinks the whole yoga craze is done.

HOLD

They were in a massive growth phase for a longtime, while they were opening stores and sales were growing. Sales growth has slowed. The market is not willing to pay the multiple that it was. A retailer trades on earnings per share. It is not a darling of the street any more. It will be a market performer at best.

DON'T BUY

Prior to some of its little mishaps recently, the stock had been flying. Trading at 24X PE, which doesn’t leave it a lot of room for mistakes. As you can see, when a mistake happens, the stock is going to fall off. A bit expensive.

DON'T BUY

(Market Call Minute) An avoid until you get a better sense next quarter. Expensive compared to the rest of the peer group.