Stockchase Opinions

Steve MacMillanMcDonaldsMCDCOMMENTJan 03, 2007

Has done a great job in the last 1 1/2 years of getting its sales turned around. From here, it will be more on how they do in Europe. Valuation is getting a little bit full.
$43.87

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$279.84

As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.

food services
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BUY

Does not own shares, but watching carefully. Demand for products steady and rising. Brand is very strong across the globe. European demand very strong (long lines in stores). A.I. helping company reduce labor inputs. Ability to mesh A.I. with food industry very strong. 

Unspecified

It is adding more stores and raising prices by 10% which people are paying. More middle and higher income people are coming into their restaurants along with lower income customers eating there less often. It has spent 7 years improving the burgers and is now increasing the size of them. It reinvests profits more than the other chains.

WAIT

It has transformed itself and has bottomed after a sell-off, consolidated and had a nice rally. It is well valued now so wait to buy at $290 

BUY

It reported today. Sales were good last quarter, but they warned about the consumer, which was spot-on.

BUY
Price target cut today

Has owned this for 10 years. An incredible dividend grower. Will write calls on this in the $290s.

HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

MCD is a mature fast food franchisor that is now trading at 21.4x times' Forward P/E (historical averages in the last five years range from 21.2x to 25.2x). The balance sheet has net debt of $47B, and a net debt/EBITDA of 3.2x, which is quite leveraged, but given the predictability of the business, we think it is still okay. The company has generated healthy cash flow over the years, most of which has been used for dividend increases and share repurchases. Although long-term growth may be affected somewhat due to a healthier lifestyle, we think MCD could do well over the short term given the pricing power of the capital-light business model as a franchisor, which is valuable in an inflationary environment. We would nor really be concerned about the weight loss drugs. They could even have a net positive impact if consumers believe they are healthier overall and want to 'treat' themselves. Overall, we like MCD as a solid dividend grower name, and we are okay to add some here at the current valuation.
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HOLD

Very strong franchise.
Well known brand.
Share price has been flat for past year (fears of recession).
Discretionary item.
Quality name for long term investor with global assets.
Would recommend holding shares. 

BUY

He holds it in more conservative portfolios. Looking back long-term, you can't get a chart that's much better. Yield is 2.1%, which he expects to remain stable and go higher over time. Expects 6.4% dividend growth, very strong. Great balance sheet and cashflow, well run. Low beta, 3/4 that of the S&P. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 03/20, Up 54%)

Prices are getting high, costs are going up. Be careful. For a stock like this, you have to look at topline sales. Starting to look a little toppy. If you own it, hold, but be wary of the 100-day MA. If it drops below $270, that's a problem.

BUY

Loves how they shifted their franchise model. Operating margins have jumped and net sales rose 11% YTD. It's consolidating sideways, but expects a breakout. But if it falls below $270 there could be a short-term rollover.

BUY

Likes it. Targets $300. Is best in show, besides Chipotle, in this space.

COMMENT

It hit a new high today after announcing layoffs. Any company announcing layoffs pushes up shares.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Consistently performed over the past 5 years. Low volatility that is good for turmoil in the market. Valuation a little high at the current share price (24x-26 PE multiple). Would prefer a retail name like Nike or Starbucks (cheaper valuation).
BUY ON WEAKNESS
It traded in the $220s. If it returns there, buy. He likes the stock.