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NYSE:MCD

McDonalds (MCD)

279.19
+0.58 (0.21%)
as of Jun 18, 2026, 10:02:00 pm Market Open.
225 watching
0
HOLD
Good company. Reaping benefits of a great turnaround. Will continue to do well as long as they can keep costs down. Stick with it. (Analysts’ price target is $230.00)
BUY ON WEAKNESS
An excellent business. He's owned this since 2003, but sold last summer when the yield curve steepened and the CEO turned over. Now looks like a buying opportunity. Inevitably, he comes back to MCD. MCD owns their real estate, so they have the best locations. MCD outperforms when investors look for defensive stocks, but it underperforms when the market takes on more risk (like now). They've added beverages very well in Canada, namely coffee.
TOP PICK
They continue to innovate with technology. They reported today good same-store sales. Like a REIT, it's a predictable money machine. (Analysts’ price target is $226.54)
DON'T BUY
He wouldn't buy McDonalds unless it dropped down to $90, which is substantially lower than were it's trading. It's only a good buy for the long term if you can buy it at the fair market value.
TOP PICK
Missed on earnings in October. He doesn't own it quite yet. It's a good stock that still owns the sector and brings in customers. A defensive stock. If it goes below $191, he would get out. He's looking to buy this in the next couple weeks. (Analysts’ price target is $222.63)
DON'T BUY
In their October report, earnings missed by 10 cents/share. In North America, MCD is cannabilizing their menu; with all-day breakfast, then what about lunch and dinner? He doesn't like food retailers in general. Decent dividend growth, but flagging sales are a red flag. Meanwhile, peers are building new stores internationally.
COMMENT

They own Yum! Brands in this space rather than McDonalds. One of the issues is that traffic into stores has been slowing in US locations. Arguably, growth with come in other emerging markets.

HOLD
Relatively defensive position, and the market's rotating more towards cyclicals. A great company. Likes it very much. It will have its time in the sun and its time in the shade. Growing earnings and cashflow very smartly. Be patient and let it work over a long time.
TOP PICK
38,000 restaurants across the world with 40 years of dividend growth. Over the last 5 years, it’s grown 9% compounded. It has a good growth rate. It’s come down around 10% for no reason and it is a leader in quick service. Has a good growth potential.
HOLD
The balance sheet is very healthy. His only concern is that companies that have been seen as safe have had their stock prices run up. He thinks this might cause the stock price to go sideways. They are the most innovative of the quick serve restaurant chains. They are testing Beyond Meat in south western Ontario.
COMMENT
Likes it. Adding at these lower levels. CEO leaving is not a huge deal. It's not a one-man show. Earnings look good. Good things to come, especially on the technology side which will lower costs and drive earnings.
BUY

MCD vs. QSR long-term He would've chosen MCD up until a few days ago when the CEO was fired. That CEO boosted margins and invested well in tech. They had 17 quarters of rising sales. Can the new guy keep this up? MCD is probably in better shape now because of him and good to own for the next little while; there's momentum here. QSR, in contrast, is made up of several chains. However, QSR has done well in pushing non-meat products, whereas MCD is not there yet. QSR could push ahead of MCD, given this. He'd still choose McDonald's.

DON'T BUY

They have challenges. Same-store sales are not living up to street expectations. This is not a terrible buy, but sees more growth in Starbucks. McDonald's pays a 2.6% dividend as it buys back shares with borrowed money, but interest rates will remain low.

SELL
After a huge drop after an earnings miss. It has massive downside risk--75%. Last few quarters have had poor earnings. They have been buying back stock which helps earnings. In the last 50 years, MCD has had three massive setbacks, always when the markets were overvalued. Their balance sheet is much weaker than six years ago. When a stock really falls hard, then suppliers and creditors look at a company's balance sheet--and MCD's has a big hole in theirs. The fundamentals are terrible.
DON'T BUY
McDonald's blew out all their equity. They have negative equity of $6.8 billion due to share buybacks and other measures. Their managers don't seem to care about their valuation which is sky high. He doesn't understand why they do this. It's never been more expensive. If MCD does get into trouble down the road (i.e. recession), this stock will go down a long, long way. A lot of blue-chip companies have no balance sheet, no equity.
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