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McKesson CorpMCKCOMMENTSep 26, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
About $305B USD expected revenue for 2024. Largest customers are CVS and WMT. Middleman between end-retail pharmacies and medical product companies. Operates in a virtual triopoloy. Long term, demographics will lead to greater spending.
Increased share buybacks. Beat topline and bottom line expectations on latest quarter, raised guidance. Chart's trending higher, it's the best. Outpacing S&P 500 since early 2019. Earnings growth rate of about 10%. Solid healthcare name. Yield is 0.5%.
Stock is not a household name, but Rexall is, which MCK just bought. Core business is wholesale drug distribution in US. Negotiates bulk drug purchases and distributes them. Low margin, but high inventory turnover, so high ROE. Stable, non-cyclical. In oligopoly with 2 others and a combined 90% market share. Non-discretionary.
Chart looks nice, undemanding multiple of 15.5x earnings. Has grown at 10% compound rate over the last decade, well positioned to continue this. Yield is 0.5%.
Global leader. Operates in a virtual tri-opoly. Significant leverage in negotiating supply, which gives predictable cashflow. Aging population will increase volumes. Almost 60% of all Americans use at least 1 prescription drug, expected to rise. Increased demand for diabetes and weigh-loss drugs.
Beat on top and bottom lines, increased guidance. Share price above rising moving averages. Outperforming broader index. Forecast 10% earnings growth going forward. Yield is 0.55%.
MCK-N vs. CAH-N. They have done very much the same thing, so she has no preference. MCK-N is certainly the leader in the group. The peak was last summer at $15. If MCK-N moves lower she would buy a lot more of it.