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NASDAQ:MSFT
(A Top Pick Jul 09/20, Up 25%) Cloud business continues to climb, second only to AMZN. Business productivity unit continues to grow. 20 consecutive quarters of positive earnings surprises. A bit of a premium, but not of names like it. Getting pricey, so he's watching the valuation. Expects revenue growth of 15% a year. He's still buying.
MSFT-Q vs. AAPL-Q. They have a lot of similar strengths. They dominate their industries and have very loyal customers. They have good business models. AAPL-Q generates the vast majority of their profits from iPhones, which market may becoming saturated. MSFT-Q focuses on the commercial client. He thinks MSFT-Q will continue to grow faster than AAPL-Q will.
(A Top Pick May 11/20, Up 31%) The cloud will continue to grow, and they will continue to gain share. In a really strong position. Data collection through the cloud can be used to help clients. Gaming business is doing incredibly well. Strong pipeline. Free to do acquisitions without same regulatory scrutiny as FB and GOOG.
The market can get stupid during the heart of earnings season. MSFT just reported a super beat, and are firing on all cylinders with the cloud, Windows, Xbox. MSFT reported 93% revenue growth, 200% earnings growth and greatly hiked up their full-year forecast, and are taking market share from Intel. Instead, it went down $7 today when it should have gone up $7 or even $15. It pulled back partly because of arbitrage pressure of AMD acquiring Xilinx in a stock-stock transaction, so hedge funds are shorting the former and buying the latter. But come on--MSFT is a buy.
Displaced Oracle in the cloud as the database of choice. It's about selling cloud services, like a utility. Margins are much higher on cloud than selling software. Over time, margins and free cashflow will go up. Not concerned about the valuation, because of growing business and margins.