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TSE:NFI
A very frustrating stock. One of the names that should have benefited from the NAFTA agreement. A company that is growing. They are doing all the right things. They will build like 11,000 buses in the next couple of years. Great balance sheet. Trading at 13 times earnings. They are certainly not selling and if you are not on it, might be a good time to pick it away.
Their quarters are fine and they are announcing new contracts so why is it languishing? It is the trade talks, even though they have operations in the US. The underlying fundamentals in the industry remain strong. Sit and wait it out and get some resolution with NAFTA. If you are waiting to buy, wait until NAFTA is resolved.
They just got new contracts. Long term holding. A cash flow machine. They have modernized over the years. Decent yield. The tariff issue affects only 3 percent of the cost of manufacturing on their buses. The order backlog is very solid. Trading at 13-14 next year earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $65.57)
Likes this, though he's sold a big chunk of his shares recently to take profits (his position was getting too large). Below $50 he'd look at this again. They're well-balanced between US and Canadian operations. Recent numbers look good
with growing orders, but it takes time between orders and delivery of buses--will those cities still close those deals.
New Flyer has been caught up with some of the other reasonably-priced dividend-paying stocks that have been left behind as people chase growth stocks. This is a global phenomenon, and shows particularly in the US. This company scores in the top 20% on valuation and the top 20% on stability, has given a 22% return on equity and trades at 15x earnings. It offers a good yield (3%) and a low payout ratio. However, it did miss on earnings in the last quarter. They continue to have a backlog and so they have a growth profile ahead of them.
A bus maker in Winnipeg. Tariffs likely hit this stock with increased input costs. From valuation, it is still attractive. He would like it to form a base before he looks at it. The other concern is whether the economy will continue to grow over the next year or two.